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FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia prediction: AI analysis & odds

AI Trend FC Nordsjaelland or CSKA Sofia (12) prob 80% market 80% best odds @ 1.20
FC FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L D D D D
VS
22/10/2026
Kick-off 18:45 Paris time
CSKCSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Away
★Follow
Last 5 D W D L W
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

AI Trend FC Nordsjaelland Lost
Model confidence59 %
Odds
1.47
Market
Match result
Taken on 20/10 · 10:40 at odds of 1.47
AI Trend FC Nordsjaelland or CSKA Sofia Lost
Model confidence80 %
Odds
1.20
Market
Double chance
Taken on 20/10 · 10:02 at odds of 1.20

Most likely scorelines

1-0
10.8 %
Most likely
1-1
10.6 %
Scenario #2
2-0
10.1 %
Scenario #3

FC Nordsjaelland-CSKA Sofia score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
59%
View full analysis
● Our model leans to double chance 12 (no draw) @ 1.20 (model probability 79.8%, implied probability 83.3%, edge -3.5 pts: the price does not pay this scenario)

GAME CONTEXT

FC Nordsjaelland is coming off a 3-3 draw away to Lyngby. Before that, the club drew 1-1 away to Heart Of Midlothian and 0-0 at home to Odense, then lost 1-4 away to Viborg and won 2-0 at home to Aarhus. CSKA Sofia just lost 1-2 at home to AS Monaco. The club won 3-2 away to CSKA 1948, drew 1-1 away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, won 2-0 away to Lokomotiv Sofia and won 4-1 at home to Arda Kardzhali.

1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)

Double chance 12 (no draw) @ 1.20: this line wins if FC Nordsjaelland or CSKA Sofia takes the match, and loses on a draw. Our model leans to this scenario at a model probability of 79.8%, but the odds imply 83.3%. The edge is -3.5 pts: the price does not pay this scenario. The reference odds make FC Nordsjaelland the favorite at 1.45 and give the draw 20.3%. FC Nordsjaelland's recent results partly point toward a draw, with three straight shared points. CSKA Sofia has scored in each of its last five matches.

Devil's advocate

A draw is the scenario that sinks this line. FC Nordsjaelland drew 3-3, 1-1 and 0-0 in its last three matches. That is the weak point of this read.

ProbWin verdict

Our model leans to double chance 12, but the price does not pay this scenario: we are not playing this match.

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

The referee

R. Jones
6 matches officiated in our database
4.3
cards / game
4.4
league average

Form & Stats

FC NordsjaellandFC NordsjaellandHOM
Nov. 1, 2026FC Nordsjaell… - FC Midtjylland2 - 3L
Oct. 25, 2026Silkeborg - FC Nordsjaell…1 - 1D
Oct. 22, 2026FC Nordsjaell… - CSKA Sofia2 - 2D
Oct. 18, 2026Lyngby - FC Nordsjaell…3 - 3D
Oct. 15, 2026Heart Of Midl… - FC Nordsjaell…1 - 1D
CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaAWY
Oct. 31, 2026CSKA Sofia - Slavia Sofia0 - 0D
Oct. 26, 2026CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets2 - 0W
Oct. 22, 2026FC Nordsjaell… - CSKA Sofia2 - 2D
Oct. 15, 2026CSKA Sofia - AS Monaco1 - 2L
Oct. 11, 2026CSKA 1948 - CSKA Sofia2 - 3W

Head-to-Head

22/10/26FC Nordsjaelland — CSKA Sofia2 – 2
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue FC Nordsjaelland – CSKA Sofia ?

Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 18:45 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour FC Nordsjaelland – CSKA Sofia ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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