Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Dinamo Zagreb-NEC Nijmegen score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Dinamo Zagreb just won 5-1 away at NK Slaven Belupo. Its recent results include a 1-0 home win over Anderlecht, a 1-2 away loss at HNK Hajduk Split and a 3-2 home win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. NEC Nijmegen just drew 1-1 at home with Levski Sofia. Its recent results include a 0-5 away loss at Juventus, a 0-3 away loss and a 1-3 home loss against Bodo/Glimt.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 1X (home or draw): this line covers two of the three outcomes, a Dinamo Zagreb win or a draw. Only a NEC Nijmegen win sinks it. The market makes Dinamo Zagreb the favorite: 57.8% for its win, 22.1% for the draw and 20.1% for a NEC Nijmegen win (reference probabilities, margin removed). The working scenario is a match Dinamo Zagreb does not lose.
The tables point the same way. Dinamo Zagreb scored 5 against NK Slaven Belupo and 3 against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, and failed to score in only one of its last five matches, a 0-0 against Hapoel Beer Sheva. NEC Nijmegen did not score against Juventus (0-5) or on its trip to Bodo/Glimt (0-3). A draw is enough to cash the line, which matters against an opponent whose latest result is a 1-1 with Levski Sofia.
Our lean goes to double chance 1X at 1.23: our probability is 84.4%, against 81.3% implied by the odds, a thin edge of +3.1 points.
The scenario that sinks the line is a NEC Nijmegen win, and it beat Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 at home, while Dinamo Zagreb lost 1-2 away at HNK Hajduk Split. We accept that risk, because NEC Nijmegen did not score away against Juventus (0-5) or Bodo/Glimt (0-3).
Our lean goes to double chance 1X (home or draw) @ 1.23: an AI lean, not an official pick. Dinamo Zagreb wins or avoids defeat, with no staking advice.
Absences
- 🩹 S. McKenna — Dinamo Zagreb · Inactive
- 🩹 R. Mudrazija — Dinamo Zagreb · Off the roster
- 🩹 I. Nevistic — Dinamo Zagreb · Off the roster
- 🩹 N. Nsoki — Dinamo Zagreb · Off the roster
- 🩹 P. Tabinas — Dinamo Zagreb · Off the roster
- 🩹 F. Topic — Dinamo Zagreb · Off the roster
- 🩹 S. Radeljic — Dinamo Zagreb · Inactive
- 🩹 M. Bakker — NEC Nijmegen · Off the roster
- 🩹 D. Geiger — NEC Nijmegen · Inactive
- 🩹 I. Hansen-Aaroen — NEC Nijmegen · Off the roster
- 🩹 E. Mor — NEC Nijmegen · Groin Injury
- 🩹 B. Nuytinck — NEC Nijmegen · Ankle Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Dinamo ZagrebHOM
NEC NijmegenAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen ?
Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 18:45 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
