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CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction: AI analysis & odds

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CF CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Home
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Last 5 D L D W W
VS
22/10/2026
Kick-off 05:00 Paris time
CRUCruz Azul
Cruz Azul
Away
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Last 5 D D L W W
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
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How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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CF Pachuca-Cruz Azul score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Cruz Azul STAT CF Pachuca
1.73
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
0.99
1.29
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.32
1.77
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.04
2.2
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
1.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
7.4
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
6.0
1.80
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.40
70.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
50.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
30.0%
10
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
8
CF PachucaCF PachucaHOM
Oct. 11, 2026CF Pachuca - Necaxa3 - 3D
Sept. 27, 2026Santos Laguna - CF Pachuca1 - 0L
Sept. 21, 2026CF Pachuca - Club Tijuana2 - 2D
Sept. 12, 2026Atlante FC - CF Pachuca0 - 3W
Sept. 5, 2026FC Juarez - CF Pachuca0 - 2W
Cruz AzulCruz AzulAWY
Oct. 12, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pu… - Cruz Azul3 - 3D
Sept. 26, 2026Cruz Azul - Toluca3 - 3D
Sept. 20, 2026Monterrey - Cruz Azul1 - 0L
Sept. 13, 2026Cruz Azul - Club America4 - 3W
Sept. 6, 2026Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna1 - 0W

Head-to-Head

05/04/26Cruz Azul — CF Pachuca1 – 2
13/09/25CF Pachuca — Cruz Azul0 – 1
09/02/25Cruz Azul — CF Pachuca2 – 1
29/09/24CF Pachuca — Cruz Azul2 – 4
14/01/24Cruz Azul — CF Pachuca0 – 1
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue CF Pachuca – Cruz Azul ?

Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 05:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour CF Pachuca – Cruz Azul ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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