Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Celtic-Celta Vigo score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Celtic beat Heart Of Midlothian 7-1 at home, lost 1-4 away at Benfica and won 2-0 away at Motherwell. Celtic went down 0-1 at home to Rangers and 1-3 at home to Ferencvarosi TC. Celta Vigo beat Alaves 2-1 at home, lost 1-2 at home to Juventus and drew 0-0 away at Elche CF. Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5-0 at home and lost 0-1 away at Omonia Nicosia.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 12 (no draw): the market is split, at 35.3% for Celtic, 26.7% for the draw and 38.0% for Celta Vigo, a slight favorite. Our lean goes to double chance 12 at 1.32, and the price pays our estimate of 77.4% against 75.8% implied, an edge of +1.6 pts, which is thin. The bet wins if either club takes the match and loses on a draw, so it covers two outcomes out of three. The tables point the same way: Celtic has no draw in its last 5 matches, with two wins and three defeats, and Celta Vigo has one draw, two wins and two defeats. No xG is supplied for this fixture, so the read rests on results and on our probability.
The scenario that sinks this line is a cagey game that ends level: Celta Vigo drew 0-0 away at Elche CF. We accept that risk, because Celta Vigo's other four recent matches all produced a winner: two wins against Alaves and Racing Santander, and two defeats against Juventus and Omonia Nicosia.
Our lean goes to double chance 12 (no draw) at 1.32: it is a read, not an official pick.
Absences
- 🩹 H. F. Cuenca Martinez — Celta Vigo · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 J. El Abdellaoui — Celta Vigo · Knee Injury
- 🩹 B. Iglesias — Celta Vigo · Calf Injury
- 🩹 A. Nunez — Celta Vigo · Groin Injury
- 🩹 M. Roman — Celta Vigo · Knee Injury
- 🩹 C. Starfelt — Celta Vigo · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 H. Gonzalez — Celta Vigo · Injury
- 🩹 L. Emenalo — Celtic · Off the roster
- 🩹 A. Johnston — Celtic · Inactive
- 🩹 Jota — Celtic · Off the roster
- 🩹 S. Mheuka — Celtic · Off the roster
- 🩹 A. Trusty — Celtic · Inactive
The referee
Form & Stats
CelticHOM
Celta VigoAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Celtic – Celta Vigo ?
Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 21:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Celtic – Celta Vigo ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
