Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Celje-Red Bull Salzburg score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
GAME CONTEXT
Celje drew 0-0 away at Maribor, lost 0-3 at home to Omonia Nicosia and won 1-0 at home against Aluminij. Celje drew 0-0 away at Mura and lost 0-2 away at Bayer Leverkusen. Red Bull Salzburg beat SCR Altach 3-0 at home, lost 0-4 at home to AC Milan and drew 0-0 away at Grazer AK. Red Bull Salzburg beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home and Levski Sofia 1-0 away.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 12 (no draw): the market makes Red Bull Salzburg the road favorite, at 58.1% for Red Bull Salzburg, 22.5% for the draw and 19.4% for Celje. Our model leans to double chance 12 at 1.25, but the price does not pay this scenario: our probability of 77.7% sits under the implied 80.0%, an edge of -2.3 pts. The bet wins if either club takes the match and loses on a draw. The tables lean toward a winner: Celje has scored in only one of its five matches, and Red Bull Salzburg has won three of its five. No xG is supplied for this fixture.
The scenario that sinks the line is a goalless stalemate: Celje drew 0-0 away at Maribor and at Mura, and Red Bull Salzburg drew 0-0 away at Grazer AK. That is the weak point of this read.
Our model leans to double chance 12, but the price does not pay this scenario: we are not playing this match.
Absences
- 🩹 E. Aguilar — Red Bull Salzburg · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 A. Chase — Red Bull Salzburg · Off the roster
- 🩹 S. Kitano — Red Bull Salzburg · Inactive
- 🩹 F. Matijasevic — Red Bull Salzburg · Off the roster
- 🩹 J. Mellberg — Red Bull Salzburg · Injury
- 🩹 J. Moser — Red Bull Salzburg · Off the roster
- 🩹 J. Omoregie — Red Bull Salzburg · Achilles Tendon Injury
- 🩹 D. Redzic — Red Bull Salzburg · Inactive
- 🩹 D. Schmid — Red Bull Salzburg · Inactive
- 🩹 N. Veratschnig — Red Bull Salzburg · Knee Injury
- 🩹 J. Lindstrom — Red Bull Salzburg · Inactive
- 🩹 J. Pisek — Celje · Knee Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
CeljeHOM
Red Bull SalzburgAWYHead-to-Head
Unlock all picks and the full analysis
The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.
Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market
Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Celje – Red Bull Salzburg ?
Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 21:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Celje – Red Bull Salzburg ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
