Como 1907 vs Manchester United prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Como 1907-Manchester United score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Como 1907 just won 3-1 away at ACF Fiorentina in Serie A. Before that: a 2-3 loss away at Feyenoord, a 0-0 draw at home against AS Roma, a 0-2 loss away at Frosinone Calcio and a 2-1 home win over Parma Calcio. Manchester United just drew 1-1 away at Leeds United in the Premier League. Before that: a 0-2 loss away at Atletico Madrid, a 1-1 home draw with Tottenham, a 1-1 draw away at Fulham and a 2-3 home loss to Brighton.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 12 (no draw): this line covers two of the three outcomes: a Como 1907 win or a Manchester United win. The market makes Como 1907 slight favorites (41.9%), with 25.4% on the draw and 32.8% on Manchester United. Our reference scenario is an open game that gets decided rather than shared. Recent results point that way: Como 1907 has had four decisive results in its last five matches, and Manchester United lost to Atletico Madrid and Brighton without the draw being a rule. On the other side, Manchester United has shared the points in three of its last five. Our model leans to this double chance, but the 1.30 price does not pay this scenario: our probability sits just under the one the odds imply.
The scenario that sinks the line is a draw. Manchester United drew 1-1 with Leeds United, Tottenham and Fulham, and Como 1907 drew 0-0 with AS Roma. We accept that risk because Como 1907 won 3-1 against ACF Fiorentina and 2-1 against Parma Calcio, two matches that were settled.
Our model leans to double chance 12, but the price does not pay this scenario: we are not playing this bet. No staking advice.
Absences
- 🩹 J. Addai — Como 1907 · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 T. Chalobah — Como 1907 · Injury
- 🩹 A. Diao — Como 1907 · Thigh Injury
- 🩹 E. Goldaniga — Como 1907 · Off the roster
- 🩹 W. Kambwala — Como 1907 · Off the roster
- 🩹 M. Kean — Como 1907 · Leg Injury
- 🩹 A. Lahdo — Como 1907 · Off the roster
- 🩹 J. Rodriguez — Como 1907 · Injury
- 🩹 P. Dorgu — Manchester United · Hamstring Injury
- 🩹 B. Sesko — Manchester United · Leg Injury
- 🩹 L. Shaw — Manchester United · Injury
- 🩹 M. Ugarte — Manchester United · Knee Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Como 1907HOM
Manchester UnitedAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Como 1907 – Manchester United ?
Le match se joue le 21/10/2026 à 18:45 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Como 1907 – Manchester United ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
