Aston Villa vs Viking prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Aston Villa-Viking score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Aston Villa just won 1-0 away at Newcastle United in the Premier League. Before that: a 6-0 home win over Fenerbahçe, a 2-2 home draw with Brentford, a 3-2 win away at Tottenham and a 3-1 win away at Coventry. Viking just won 3-2 at home against Fredrikstad in the Norwegian league. Before that: a 3-3 home draw with Bayern Munich, a 2-0 win away at Brann, a 3-0 home win over Lillestrom and an 8-1 home win over Kristiansund BK.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 1X (home or draw): the line wins if Aston Villa take the match or it ends level, and loses only on a Viking win. The market makes Aston Villa heavy favorites (77.2%), with 14.6% on the draw and 8.2% on Viking. Our reference scenario is an Aston Villa win in a game with goals: Aston Villa scored 6, 3 and 3 in three of their last five, and Viking scored 3, 3, 3 and 8. Our model leans to this double chance, but the 1.06 price does not pay this scenario: the probability it implies is well above ours.
The scenario that sinks the line is a Viking win, from a side that scored 3 against Bayern Munich and 3 against Fredrikstad. Aston Villa also conceded 2 against Brentford and 2 against Tottenham. We accept that risk because Aston Villa kept a clean sheet against Newcastle United (1-0) and against Fenerbahçe (6-0).
Our model leans to double chance 1X, but the price does not pay this scenario: we are not playing this bet. No staking advice.
Absences
- 🩹 A. Baertelsen — Viking · Foot Injury
- 🩹 V. Berisha — Viking · Thigh Injury
- 🩹 S. Bjorshol — Viking · Knee Injury
- 🩹 K. Frimpong — Viking · Off the roster
- 🩹 M. Roseth — Viking · Knee Injury
- 🩹 N. D'Agostino — Viking · Leg Injury
- 🩹 M. Cisse — Aston Villa · Off the roster
- 🩹 B. Madjo — Aston Villa · Off the roster
- 🩹 A. Onana — Aston Villa · Knee Injury
- 🩹 M. Ruggeri — Aston Villa · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 A. Wan-Bissaka — Aston Villa · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 T. Harwood-Bellis — Aston Villa · Off the roster
The referee
Form & Stats
Aston VillaHOM
VikingAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Aston Villa – Viking ?
Le match se joue le 21/10/2026 à 21:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Aston Villa – Viking ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
