Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Portland Timbers-Colorado Rapids score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Portland Timbers scores 1.4 goals per game over its last 5 matches. The club concedes 2.2 per game and has taken just 2 points out of 15. Colorado Rapids scores 1.6 goals per game over the same stretch. It concedes 1.6 per game and has taken 6 points out of 15.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Under 3.5 goals. Our model expects 1.93 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.43 from Colorado Rapids, for a total of 3.36. Under 3.5 loses at 4 goals, and that total sits close to the line. Some numbers cut against this scenario: 80% of Portland Timbers' last 10 matches went past 2.5 goals, and the club concedes 2.2 per game. Recent xG created, 2.76 for the two attacks added together, stays under the 3.5 line. At 1.62 the price pays our estimate (65.4% against a 61.7% implied probability, edge +3.7 pts).
Over 2.5 goals. Our lean goes this way, with a verified probability of 65.6%. The 1.57 price pays it (63.7% implied, edge +1.9 pts). Over 2.5 and Under 3.5 only win together on exactly 3 goals: that outcome is narrow and not the central scenario. Colorado Rapids went past 2.5 goals in only 40% of its last 10 matches, which cuts against this lean.
Over 1.5 goals. Our model gives this scenario 83.0%. The 1.18 price implies 84.7%: it does not pay it.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home win. Our model gives 47.4% to Portland Timbers, 26.0% to the draw and 26.6% to Colorado Rapids. The market also sees Portland Timbers as the favorite. Our lean goes to this win, as the 2.18 price pays our estimate (45.9% implied, edge +1.5 pt). That edge is thin. Portland Timbers has taken just 2 points out of 15 in its last 5 matches, which cuts against this reading.
Home draw no bet. The stake is returned on a draw and lost if Portland Timbers loses. Our probability is 64.0% against 62.5% implied at 1.60: a thin edge of +1.5 pt.
Double chance 12 (no draw). This line covers two outcomes out of three. Our 74.0% sits below the 78.1% implied by the 1.28 price: it does not pay this scenario.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes. Portland Timbers failed to score in 10% of its last 10 matches, Colorado Rapids in 20%. Our verified probability is 64.9%, and the 1.50 price implies 66.7%: it does not pay this scenario.
The scenario that sinks under 3.5 is a game with 4 goals or more. Portland Timbers concedes 2.2 goals per game, and 80% of its last 10 matches went past 2.5 goals. We accept that risk because Colorado Rapids scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.6, numbers that do not point to a game of four goals or more.
We back under 3.5 goals @ 1.62. Our lean also goes to over 2.5 goals, a Portland Timbers win and its draw no bet, with no firm bet.
Absences
- 🩹 H. Sulte — Portland Timbers · Lower-Body Injury
- 🩹 F. Surman — Portland Timbers · Knee Injury
- 🩹 S. Abu Farkhi — Colorado Rapids · Red Card
- 🩹 A. Fadal — Colorado Rapids · Injury
- 🩹 Y. Maziz — Colorado Rapids · Injury
- 🩹 Z. Steffen — Colorado Rapids · Shoulder Injury
- 🩹 R. Cannon — Colorado Rapids · Leg Injury
- 🩹 T. Ku-DiPietro — Colorado Rapids · Shoulder Injury
- 🩹 D. Yapi — Colorado Rapids · Injury
- 🩹 Antony — Portland Timbers · Knee Injury
- 🩹 C. Bassett — Portland Timbers · Illness
- 🩹 N. Hansen — Colorado Rapids · Hip Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Colorado Rapids
STAT
Portland Timbers
Portland TimbersHOMColorado RapidsAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids ?
Le match se joue le 18/10/2026 à 04:30 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Portland Timbers – Colorado Rapids ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
