Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

Necaxa vs Atlas prediction: AI analysis & odds

🔒 Members only — 7-day free trial Official pick
NECNecaxa
Necaxa
Home
★Follow
Last 5 D L L L D
VS
17/10/2026
Kick-off 03:00 Paris time
ATLAtlas
Atlas
Away
★Follow
Last 5 D W D L D
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 2.58X @ 3.572 @ 2.69
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.77-2.5 @ 2.12
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 1.57No @ 2.22
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
Official pick
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
See them — 7-day free trial
No credit card required.

Necaxa-Atlas score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

Picks and recommendations

Create a free account to unlock our picks and full analysis.

7-day free trial

GAME CONTEXT

Our models have only recently started following this league: this analysis relies solely on our numerical data (form, goals, trends), with no squad tracking. Necaxa scores 1.0 goal per match and concedes 2.4 over its last 5 matches. Necaxa has taken 1 point out of 15 over that stretch. Atlas scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 2.4 over its last 5 matches. Atlas has taken 5 points out of 15 over that stretch.

Full analysis and verdict

Create a free account to unlock our picks and full analysis.

7-day free trial
Read the full analysis — 7-day free trial
or 24h Pass — €2.99, no subscription

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Atlas STAT Necaxa
1.35
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.07
1.67
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.24
1.56
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.46
1.6
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.0
2.4
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.4
3.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
3.8
2.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.20
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
70.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
90.0%
20.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
0.0%
5
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
1
NecaxaNecaxaHOM
Oct. 11, 2026CF Pachuca - Necaxa3 - 3D
Sept. 28, 2026Necaxa - Club America2 - 4L
Sept. 19, 2026Atletico San … - Necaxa3 - 1L
Sept. 12, 2026Necaxa - Puebla0 - 1L
Sept. 6, 2026Tigres UANL - Necaxa1 - 1D
AtlasAtlasAWY
Oct. 11, 2026Atlas - Guadalajara C…1 - 1D
Sept. 26, 2026Club Tijuana - Atlas2 - 3W
Sept. 19, 2026Atlas - U.N.A.M. - Pu…1 - 1D
Sept. 12, 2026Toluca - Atlas5 - 2L
Sept. 6, 2026Atlas - Atlante FC1 - 1D

Head-to-Head

17/01/26Necaxa — Atlas0 – 1
27/09/25Atlas — Necaxa3 – 2
19/02/25Atlas — Necaxa0 – 4
10/11/24Necaxa — Atlas0 – 0
15/01/24Necaxa — Atlas2 – 1

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 2.58 3.57 2.69 1.77 2.12 1.23 4.26 2.86 1.44 — — — — — — —
Bet365 2.60 3.40 2.70 1.75 2.05 1.22 4.00 2.75 1.40 1.62 2.20 1.44 1.30 1.50 1.83 1.83
1xBet 2.43 3.48 2.58 1.72 2.03 1.18 3.92 2.74 1.35 1.57 2.26 1.44 1.26 1.49 — —
William Hill 2.40 3.10 2.50 — — — — — — 1.57 2.20 1.44 1.30 1.44 1.80 1.85
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.63 1.73 2.10 1.22 4.20 2.88 1.40 1.60 2.30 1.50 1.25 1.53 1.80 1.91
Marathonbet 2.43 3.48 2.58 1.72 2.03 1.18 3.92 2.74 1.35 1.57 2.22 1.44 1.26 1.49 — —
Betano 2.55 3.45 2.67 1.75 2.12 1.25 4.00 2.85 1.45 1.57 2.30 1.50 1.30 1.53 1.83 1.91
BetVictor 2.45 3.40 2.60 1.71 1.98 1.22 3.90 2.66 1.40 1.57 2.25 1.44 1.29 1.47 1.80 1.91
Dafabet 2.60 3.50 2.65 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Necaxa – Atlas ?

Le match se joue le 17/10/2026 à 03:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Necaxa – Atlas ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700