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HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax prediction: AI analysis & odds

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HNKHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
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Last 5 W L W W W
VS
15/10/2026
Kick-off 18:45 Paris time
AJAAjax
Ajax
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Last 5 D D W W L
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

3 markets analyzed
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 5.39X @ 4.492 @ 1.53
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.55-2.5 @ 2.45
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
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How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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HNK Hajduk Split-Ajax score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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GAME CONTEXT

HNK Hajduk Split, from the Croatian league, won 2-1 at home against Dinamo Zagreb and lost 0-3 away at HNK Rijeka among its last 5 matches. Its other results are a 1-0 win over NK Slaven Belupo, a 4-0 win away at Rudes and a 2-0 win over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Ajax, from the Dutch league, drew 1-1 with Nijmegen and 2-2 with Excelsior, both at home. Ajax also won 5-1 against Willem II and 5-1 away at For Sittard, but lost 1-3 at home to PSV Eindhoven.

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Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitHOM
Oct. 10, 2026HNK Hajduk Sp… - Dinamo Zagreb2 - 1W
Sept. 20, 2026HNK Rijeka - HNK Hajduk Sp…3 - 0L
Sept. 13, 2026HNK Hajduk Sp… - NK Slaven Bel…1 - 0W
Sept. 6, 2026Rudes - HNK Hajduk Sp…0 - 4W
Aug. 31, 2026HNK Hajduk Sp… - NK Lokomotiva…2 - 0W
AjaxAjaxAWY
Oct. 10, 2026Ajax - Nijmegen1 - 1D
Sept. 19, 2026Ajax - Excelsior2 - 2D
Sept. 15, 2026Ajax - Willem II5 - 1W
Sept. 12, 2026For Sittard - Ajax1 - 5W
Sept. 5, 2026Ajax - PSV Eindhoven1 - 3L

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 5.39 4.49 1.53 1.55 2.45 1.17 4.93 2.38 1.58 — — — — — — —
Bet365 5.00 4.75 1.55 1.53 2.40 1.17 5.00 2.25 1.57 1.62 2.20 2.38 1.18 1.17 4.00 1.22
1xBet 5.71 4.57 1.56 1.49 2.30 1.12 4.75 2.41 1.61 1.61 2.18 2.50 1.22 1.15 — —
William Hill 5.00 4.20 1.53 — — — — — — 1.62 2.25 2.50 1.20 1.14 4.00 1.20
Betfair 5.50 4.50 1.50 1.53 2.45 1.17 5.00 2.45 1.53 1.67 2.15 2.60 1.17 1.13 4.50 1.17
Marathonbet 5.50 4.40 1.50 1.49 2.30 1.12 4.75 2.33 1.56 1.61 2.15 2.46 1.18 1.12 — —
Betano 5.40 4.65 1.55 1.57 2.50 1.18 4.90 2.37 1.62 1.65 2.15 2.55 1.19 1.18 3.90 1.23
BetVictor 5.50 4.20 1.50 1.52 2.31 1.14 5.00 2.25 1.55 1.60 2.20 2.40 1.14 1.15 4.10 1.20
Dafabet 5.40 4.60 1.56 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax ?

Le match se joue le 15/10/2026 à 18:45 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour HNK Hajduk Split – Ajax ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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