Columbus Crew vs Charlotte prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Columbus Crew-Charlotte score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Columbus Crew has 9 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. The club scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 0.8 over that stretch. Charlotte has 8 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. It scores 1.4 goals per game and concedes 1.2.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.67: our model expects 1.64 goals from Columbus Crew and 1.60 from Charlotte, 3.25 in total, a figure close to the line. Under 3.5 loses at 4 goals. Some data cuts against this line: Columbus Crew has gone over 2.5 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches, Charlotte in 70%. The 1.67 price pays our estimate, but the edge is thin: our probability is 60.0% against 59.9% implied, +0.1 pts. This is our official pick.
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.52: our model leans to this scenario (63.4%, a verified probability over two test seasons in this league), but the price implies 65.8%: the price does not pay this scenario. Recent xG created, 2.51 for the two attacks combined, sits close to the line. Over 2.5 and under 3.5 only cash together on exactly 3 goals, a narrow outcome.
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.17: our probability (81.8%) sits below the price's implied 85.5%. The price does not pay this scenario.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home win @ 2.04: our model gives Columbus Crew 36.7%, the draw 28.4% and Charlotte 34.9%, a tight balance. The market makes Columbus Crew the favorite. Our 36.7% sits below the 49.0% implied by the price: it does not pay this scenario.
Home draw no bet @ 1.53: the stake is refunded on a draw and lost if Columbus Crew loses, even narrowly. Our 51.2% sits below the 65.4% implied by the price, which does not pay this scenario.
Double chance 12 (no draw) @ 1.28: this covers two outcomes out of three, a win for either club. Our 71.6% sits below the 78.1% implied by the price, which does not pay this scenario.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes @ 1.45: Columbus Crew failed to score in 10% of its last 10 matches, Charlotte in 20%. Our probability is 64.5% (verified probability), the price implies 69.0%: the price does not pay this scenario.
The scenario that sinks the under 3.5 is a game with 4 goals or more. Columbus Crew has gone over 2.5 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches, which makes it a real possibility. We accept this risk, because Columbus Crew concedes just 0.8 goals per game over its last 5 matches.
We back under 3.5 goals at 1.67, our official pick, with a thin edge. The other lines remain readings: the price does not pay them.
Absences
- 🩹 N. Berchimas — Charlotte · Foot Injury
- 🩹 A. Doucoure — Charlotte · Inactive
- 🩹 A. Goodwin — Charlotte · Foot Injury
- 🩹 A. John — Charlotte · Shoulder Injury
- 🩹 W. Abou Ali — Columbus Crew · Knee Injury
- 🩹 R. Camacho — Columbus Crew · Chest Injury
- 🩹 T. Ream — Charlotte · Red Card
- 🩹 B. Bronico — Charlotte · Lower-Body Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Charlotte
STAT
Columbus Crew
Columbus CrewHOMCharlotteAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Columbus Crew – Charlotte ?
Le match se joue le 15/10/2026 à 01:30 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Columbus Crew – Charlotte ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
