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Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC prediction: AI analysis & odds

Calibrated probability 🔒 Members only — 7-day free trial
ATAAtalanta BC
Atalanta BC
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L L W W
VS
12/10/2026
Kick-off 18:30 Paris time
VENVenezia FC
Venezia FC
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L L
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

6 markets analyzed
In this league, 2 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 1.57X @ 4.202 @ 6.16
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.57-2.5 @ 2.51
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 1.60No @ 2.25
AI Trend
➕Over 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🟨Yellow cards — line 4.5
Lines & odds tracked — dedicated model in the works
—
Over @ 3.25
Soon
🚩Corners — line 9.5
Lines & odds tracked — dedicated model in the works
—
Over @ 2.42
Soon
🔓 Unlock the 6 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (calibrated model: stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. When our probability exceeds the market's, the odds pay better than the estimated risk — that's what value means. Official pick = proven edge against the odds; AI Trend = model read, no certified edge. Verified probability = in this league, over two seasons the model had never seen, the realized rate never fell below the stated probability (2-point tolerance). It is a check on the probability, not an edge against the odds: compare it with the “market” probability. Odds: best price from our 14-bookmaker comparator; the “market” probability is the de-vigged consensus of those books. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Atalanta BC-Venezia FC score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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GAME CONTEXT

Atalanta BC has taken 7 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. Atalanta BC scores 1.2 goals per match and concedes 1.2 over that stretch. Venezia FC has taken 0 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. Venezia FC scores 1.2 goals per match and concedes 2.8 over that stretch.

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Line-ups & absences

Official line-ups are published automatically ~1 hour before kick-off — check back before the match or follow a club to get notified.
Injuries & doubts
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 I. Hien — Atalanta BC · Muscle Bruise
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 I. Hien — Atalanta BC · Muscle Bruise
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 I. Hien — Atalanta BC · Muscle Bruise
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 M. Šverko — Venezia FC · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 K. Sulemana — Atalanta BC · Jumpers Knee

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Venezia FC STAT Atalanta BC
1.31
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.01
2.26
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.84
1.16
OSXG For ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
0.53
1.2
Buts/Match (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.2
2.8
Encaissés (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.2
4.2
Tirs cadrés (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
4.2
1.00
Buts dom/ext ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.80
60.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
60.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
70.0%
0.0%
Clean Sheet (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
20.0%
0
Forme (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
7
Atalanta BCAtalanta BCHOM
Sept. 20, 2026Juventus - Atalanta BC2 - 0L
Sept. 12, 2026Atalanta BC - Cagliari Calc…1 - 2L
Sept. 5, 2026AS Roma - Atalanta BC2 - 1L
Aug. 31, 2026Atalanta BC - Bologna FC1 - 0W
Aug. 27, 2026Hapoel Tel Av… - Atalanta BC0 - 1W
Venezia FCVenezia FCAWY
Sept. 19, 2026Venezia FC - SS Lazio0 - 2L
Sept. 11, 2026Venezia FC - ACF Fiorentina2 - 4L
Sept. 6, 2026Frosinone Cal… - Venezia FC3 - 2L
Sept. 2, 2026Udinese Calcio - Venezia FC2 - 1L
Aug. 28, 2026AC Milan - Venezia FC2 - 0L

Head-to-Head

01/03/25Atalanta BC — Venezia FC0 – 0
20/10/24Venezia FC — Atalanta BC0 – 2
23/04/22Venezia FC — Atalanta BC1 – 3
30/11/21Atalanta BC — Venezia FC4 – 0

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 1 1X2 X 1X2 2 O/U 2.5 OVER O/U 2.5 UNDER O/U 1.5 OVER O/U 1.5 UNDER O/U 3.5 OVER O/U 3.5 UNDER BTTS YES BTTS NO DC 1X DC 12 DC X2 DNB 1 DNB 2
Pinnacle 1.57 4.20 6.16 1.57 2.51 — — 2.43 1.60 — — — — — — —
Bet365 1.57 4.10 5.75 1.57 2.38 1.17 5.00 2.38 1.57 1.62 2.20 1.14 1.22 2.30 1.20 4.33
1xBet 1.63 4.28 5.97 1.51 2.34 1.12 4.70 2.41 1.67 1.60 2.22 1.16 1.26 2.43 — —
William Hill 1.55 4.20 5.00 — — — — — — 1.62 2.25 1.15 1.20 2.40 1.20 4.00
Betfair 1.57 4.20 5.50 1.53 2.45 1.17 5.00 2.45 1.53 1.57 2.30 1.11 1.20 2.30 1.20 4.00
Marathonbet 1.58 4.15 5.80 1.51 2.34 1.12 4.70 2.33 1.61 1.60 2.19 1.15 1.25 2.43 — —
Betano 1.60 4.25 5.40 1.57 2.47 1.18 4.85 2.37 1.62 1.60 2.25 1.18 1.22 2.40 1.24 3.80
BetVictor 1.53 4.40 5.50 1.52 2.31 1.14 5.25 2.24 1.55 1.57 2.25 1.15 1.14 2.38 1.20 4.10
Dafabet 1.58 4.40 5.60 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Atalanta BC – Venezia FC ?

Le match se joue le 12/10/2026 à 18:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Atalanta BC – Venezia FC ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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