Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Real Betis-Osasuna score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
GAME CONTEXT
Real Betis scores 1.4 goals per game over its last 5 matches. It concedes 1.2 per game over that stretch. Real Betis has 12 points out of 15. Osasuna scores 1.0 goal per game and concedes 2.4 over its last 5 matches, with 6 points out of 15.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 2.5 goals: our model expects 2.14 goals from Real Betis and 0.80 from Osasuna, 2.94 in total. The picture: Real Betis controls play and scores twice, Osasuna leaks at the back. Real Betis and Osasuna have each gone over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Recent xG created, at 3.31 for the two attacks added together, points the same way as our probability. The 1.81 price pays our estimate, by a thin margin.
Over 1.5 goals: our probability is 79.0%, below the price's 80.0%. The scenario is plausible, but the price does not pay it.
Under 3.5 goals: the bet loses at 4 goals. Our probability of 68.8% is close to the price's, which does not pay this scenario.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home win: our model gives 68.2% to Real Betis, 18.8% to the draw and 13.0% to Osasuna. The market also sees Real Betis as the favorite. The 1.60 price pays our estimate, by a 5.7-point gap.
Home draw no bet: the stake is returned on a draw and lost if Osasuna wins. Our probability of 84.0% tops the price's, by 2.0 points.
Double chance 1X (home or draw): it covers two outcomes out of three, everything except an Osasuna win. Our probability is 87.0%, above the price's 86.2%, a thin gap.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes: Real Betis has not failed to score in any of its last 10 matches, at 0%. Osasuna has failed to score in 40% of its last 10 matches. Our probability of 55.8% edges above the price's 54.6%.
The scenario that sinks the Real Betis win: Osasuna has failed to score in 40% of its last 10 matches, which points to a tight game, possibly a draw or a visitor win, with little scoring on either side. Real Betis kept a clean sheet in 40% of its last 10 matches and took 12 points out of 15 recently. This is the weak point of this read: a tight game does not show up in our tables.
Our lean is a Real Betis win, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score: yes as the goals scenario. No official pick on this match.
Key Factors
Line-ups & absences
- 🩹 I. Losada — Real Betis · Inactive
- 🩹 A. Bonel — Osasuna · Inactive
- 🩹 A. Oroz — Osasuna · Injury
- 🩹 J. Firpo — Real Betis · Groin Injury
- 🩹 M. Bartra — Real Betis · Injury
- 🩹 A. Ruibal — Real Betis · Knee Injury
- 🩹 J. Herrando — Osasuna · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 R. Moro — Osasuna · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 V. Rosier — Osasuna · Hamstring Injury
- 🩹 R. Del Castillo — Osasuna · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 K. Barja — Osasuna · Muscle Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Osasuna
STAT
Real Betis
Real BetisHOMOsasunaAWYHead-to-Head
Unlock all picks and the full analysis
The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, line-ups, injuries, referee and odds from 11 bookmakers — no commitment.
Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market
Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Real Betis – Osasuna ?
Le match se joue le 11/10/2026 à 18:30 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Real Betis – Osasuna ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
