RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
RB Leipzig-Eintracht Frankfurt score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
RB Leipzig sit 9th in the table and have 9 points from 15 over their last 5 matches. RB Leipzig score 2.4 goals per game and concede 1.6 over that stretch. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 10th with 5 points from 15 over their last 5 matches. Eintracht Frankfurt score 2.2 goals per game and concede 2.6 over that stretch.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.31: our model expects 2.59 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.39 from Eintracht Frankfurt, 3.98 in total. The reference script is an open game in which RB Leipzig take control. Both clubs saw more than 2.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches. Recent xG created, 4.25 for the two attacks, points the same way. The model probability is 76.4%, verified, against 76.3% implied by the price: the edge is thin (+0.1 pt).
Over 3.5 goals @ 1.81: the line needs at least 4 goals. Our model gives 58.3% against 55.2% implied, +3.1 pts. Recent xG created (4.25) and our model's expected goals (3.98) both clear this line.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home draw no bet @ 1.26: stake returned on a draw, lost if Eintracht Frankfurt win. Our model gives 79.6% against 79.4%, a thin edge (+0.2 pt).
Double chance 1X @ 1.20: two outcomes out of three, RB Leipzig or the draw; only an Eintracht Frankfurt win loses it. Our model gives 84.5% against 83.3%, +1.2 pts.
RB Leipzig win @ 1.58: our model gives RB Leipzig 60.7%, the draw 23.7% and Eintracht Frankfurt 15.5%. This probability is verified. The price implies 63.3%: it does not pay this scenario (-2.6 pts). The xG created gap is 0.43 in RB Leipzig's favor.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes @ 1.40: our model leans this way (71.3%), but the price does not pay (71.4%, -0.1 pt). Eintracht Frankfurt have never been blanked in their last 10 matches (failed to score: 0%), RB Leipzig in 25%.
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.10: our model leans this way (90.8%), but the price does not pay (90.9%, -0.1 pt).
The script that sinks over 3.5: RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet, as they did in 30% of their last 10 matches, and win by a short scoreline. We accept that risk, because Eintracht Frankfurt have not been blanked in their last 10 matches (failed to score: 0%).
Our lean is over 2.5 goals and over 3.5 goals, with RB Leipzig draw no bet as the read on the result. The straight win and over 1.5 goals are not paid by the price; no staking advice.
Key Factors
Line-ups & absences
- 🩹 M. Guiu — RB Leipzig · Hamstring Injury
- 🩹 A. Ouedraogo — RB Leipzig · Shoulder Injury
- 🩹 C. Baumgartner — RB Leipzig · Thigh Injury
- 🩹 B. Gruda — RB Leipzig · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 R. Reitz — RB Leipzig · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 J. Maluze — Eintracht Frankfurt · Thigh Injury
- 🩹 J. Ngankam — Eintracht Frankfurt · Hamstring Injury
- 🩹 M. Pimpong — Eintracht Frankfurt · Injury
- 🩹 F. Chaibi — Eintracht Frankfurt · Lacking Match Fitness
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Eintracht Frankfurt
STAT
RB Leipzig
RB LeipzigHOMEintracht FrankfurtAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt ?
Le match se joue le 10/10/2026 à 18:30 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
