FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
FC Juarez-Club Tijuana score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
This league has only recently come under our models' watch, so this analysis rests solely on our numbers (form, goals, trends), with no tracking of squads. FC Juarez scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 2.0 over its last 5 matches, for 3 points out of 15. Club Tijuana scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.8 over its last 5 matches, for 7 points out of 15.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85: our model expects 1.42 goals from FC Juarez and 1.45 from Club Tijuana, 2.87 in total. The reference scenario is an open game with no clear winner. The tables point the same way: 60% of FC Juarez's last 10 matches and 50% of Club Tijuana's went over 2.5 goals, and FC Juarez concedes 2.0 goals per game. The recent xG created by both attacks adds up to 2.46, just under the 2.5 mark. Our 54.8% probability edges past the 54.1% implied probability, so the edge is thin.
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26: our model reads the game this way, but the price does not pay this scenario.
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.44: an Under 3.5 loses at 4 goals. Paired with Over 2.5, it wins only on exactly 3 goals, a narrow outcome. The price does not pay this scenario.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Away win @ 2.38: our model gives Club Tijuana 36.9%, FC Juarez 35.9% and the draw 27.3%. The balance of power is even, with a slight lean to Club Tijuana, who have 7 points out of 15 to FC Juarez's 3. The market also sees Club Tijuana as favorite, at 40.2% with the margin removed, and gives the draw 27.8%. The price does not pay this scenario.
Away draw no bet @ 1.68: the stake is returned on a draw and lost on a defeat, however narrow. The price does not pay this scenario.
Double chance 12 (no draw) @ 1.30: this line covers two outcomes out of three, a win for either club. Our model leaves 27.3% to the draw, and the price does not pay this scenario.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes @ 1.67: FC Juarez failed to score in 40% of its last 10 matches, Club Tijuana in 30%. Our model still expects 1.42 goals from FC Juarez. The scenario holds up, but the price does not pay it.
The scenario that sinks the over 2.5 is a closed game in which FC Juarez's attack, at 0.8 goals per game over its last 5 matches, stays quiet. We accept this risk because Club Tijuana scores 1.6 goals per game over the same stretch.
Our lean is over 2.5 goals @ 1.85. This is not an official pick, and we give it with no staking advice.
Key Factors
Line-ups & absences
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Club Tijuana
STAT
FC Juarez
FC JuarezHOMClub TijuanaAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue FC Juarez – Club Tijuana ?
Le match se joue le 11/10/2026 à 01:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour FC Juarez – Club Tijuana ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
