Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Club Queretaro-Atlante FC score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
This league has only recently come under our models' watch, so this analysis rests solely on our numbers (form, goals, trends), with no tracking of squads. Club Queretaro scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes 0.8 over its last 5 matches, for 8 points out of 15. Atlante FC scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.6 over its last 5 matches, for 3 points out of 15.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.82: our model expects 1.90 goals from Club Queretaro and 0.98 from Atlante FC, 2.89 in total. The reference scenario is an open game in which Club Queretaro scores more. Some data runs against this line: the recent xG created by both attacks adds up to 2.40, below the 2.5 mark, and 50% of Club Queretaro's last 10 matches and 33% of Atlante FC's went over 2.5 goals. Our 55.0% probability sits close to the 54.9% implied probability, so the edge is thin.
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27: our model reads the game this way, but the price does not pay this scenario.
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.42: an Under 3.5 loses at 4 goals. Paired with Over 2.5, it wins only on exactly 3 goals, a narrow outcome. Here too, the price does not pay this scenario.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home win @ 2.17: our model gives Club Queretaro 58.7%, against 22.2% for the draw and 19.1% for Atlante FC. The tables point the same way: Club Queretaro has 8 points out of 15 to Atlante FC's 3, and concedes 0.8 goals per game to 1.6. The market also sees Club Queretaro as favorite, at 44.4% with the margin removed, and gives the draw 29.7%. The 2.17 price pays our estimate, with an edge of +12.6 points.
Home draw no bet @ 1.57: the stake is returned on a draw and lost on a defeat, however narrow. Our 75.4% probability exceeds the 63.7% implied probability, an edge of +11.7 points.
Double chance 1X @ 1.33: this line covers two outcomes out of three, a Club Queretaro win or a draw. The price still pays our estimate, with an edge of +5.7 points.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes @ 1.67: Atlante FC failed to score in 33% of its last 10 matches, Club Queretaro in 20%. Our model expects 0.98 goals from Atlante FC. The scenario holds up, but the price does not pay it.
The scenario that sinks a Club Queretaro win is a stalled attack: the club failed to score in 20% of its last 10 matches and took just 8 points out of 15. We accept this risk because Club Queretaro scores 1.2 goals per game over its last 5 matches.
Our lean is a Club Queretaro win @ 2.17. This is not an official pick, and we give it with no staking advice.
Key Factors
Line-ups & absences
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Atlante FC
STAT
Club Queretaro
Club QueretaroHOMAtlante FCAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Club Queretaro – Atlante FC ?
Le match se joue le 11/10/2026 à 01:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Club Queretaro – Atlante FC ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
