Do our picks beat the market?
Win rate doesn't tell the whole story. Here's the metric that proves whether a prediction service has a real edge — or just got lucky.
The idea in 30 seconds
Imagine buying a stock at $10. A few hours later, it's worth $12. You bought at the right time — you captured value.
Closing Line Value (CLV) measures exactly the same thing for sports betting. We compare the odds we took with the final odds just before the game starts.
Why does this matter? Because it's the metric bookmakers themselves use to identify winning bettors. A bettor who consistently beats the closing line will be profitable long-term — it's mathematical.
Bottom line: a positive average CLV (+X%) means our models identify value before the market corrects. That's the difference between a service with a real edge and one that just shows a nice win rate from luck.
View monthly breakdown
| Month | Picks | Beat closing | Avg CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| %Y-%m | 251 | 43.8% | +0.49% |
View monthly breakdown
| Month | Picks | Beat closing | Avg CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| %Y-%m | 202 | 38.6% | -0.45% |
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