BUF @ DAL NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · American Airlines Center

BUF

Buffalo Sabres

Away

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4W - 6L

11/15/2026
Start 01:00

--d --h --m

DAL

Dallas Stars

Home

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7W - 2L

Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

GOALIES

Alex Lyon

Confirmed

SV%0.880

GSAx/G-0.53

Jake Oettinger

Confirmed

SV%0.895

GSAx/G+0.35

Moneyline

BUF

2.70 37% impl.

Moneyline

DAL

2.12 47% impl.

Total 6.0 O 1.85 / U 2.05

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Dallas Stars: Jake Oettinger (confirmed) — 0.889 save percentage, 2.38 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.31 over his last 10 starts

● Buffalo Sabres: Alex Lyon (probable starter) — 0.896 save percentage, 2.80 GAA, GSAx +0.52 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

The Dallas Stars are 10-6-2, good for 22 standings points in 18 games (10 wins, 6 regulation losses and 2 losses in overtime or the shootout). The Buffalo Sabres are 8-7-4, good for 20 standings points in 19 games (8 wins, 7 regulation losses and 4 losses in overtime or the shootout). Dallas last played on November 12, 2026 and has one day of rest. Buffalo last played on November 12, 2026 and has one day of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Dallas Stars: Lian Bichsel (D) — out (lower body); Miro Heiskanen (D) — out (upper body); Kyle Capobianco (D) — long-term injured reserve (LTIR); Matt Duchene (C) — LTIR; Oskar Back (C) — LTIR

● Buffalo Sabres: Justin Danforth (RW) — LTIR; Konsta Helenius (C) — LTIR; Matt Grzelcyk (D) — LTIR

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	1.85@6.0	2.05@6.0	1.75	2.21
1xBet	1.71@5.5	2.25@5.5	2.20	2.89
Betclic	—	—	2.12	2.70
Winamax	—	—	2.05	2.60
Unibet	—	—	2.05	2.60
888sport	2.00@6.5	1.80@6.5	1.73	2.10

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

1BUF

DAL4

10/08/26DAL — BUF4 – 0

04/15/26DAL — BUF4 – 3

12/31/25BUF — DAL4 – 1

12/31/24BUF — DAL2 – 4

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

BUF STAT

DAL

2.90

Buts/Match ?

3.30

3.50

Buts encaissés ?

2.70

3.32

xG For ?

3.34

24.0%

PP% ?

38.9%

71.4%

PK% ?

92.9%

87.8%

Save% ?

88.2%

51.1%

CF% ?

51.2%

9.7%

Sh% ?

12.1%

Frequently asked questions

When is BUF @ DAL played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-14.

Where can I find a prediction for BUF @ DAL?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.