MTL @ BOS NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · TD Garden

MTL

Montreal Canadiens

Away

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8W - 2L

11/13/2026
Start 00:00

--d --h --m

BOS

Boston Bruins

Home

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6W - 3L

Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

GOALIES

Jacob Fowler

Confirmed

SV%0.925

GSAx/G+1.12

Jeremy Swayman

Probable

SV%0.920

GSAx/G+0.79

Moneyline

MTL

2.00 50% impl.

Moneyline

BOS

1.80 56% impl.

Total 6.5 O 2.00 / U 1.80

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Boston Bruins: Jeremy Swayman (probable starter) — 0.905 save percentage, 2.47 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) of +0.48 over his last 10 starts

● Montreal Canadiens: Jacob Fowler (confirmed starter) — 0.925 save percentage, 2.15 GAA, GSAx of +1.14 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Boston is 13 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 18 games, for 27 standings points. Its last game was on November 8, 2026, and the team has 3 days of rest. Montreal is 11 wins, 3 losses and 4 overtime or shootout losses in 18 games, for 26 standings points. Its last game was on November 10, 2026, and the team has 1 day of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Boston Bruins: James Hagens (C), long-term injured reserve (LTIR), back, estimated return on November 21, 2026

● Montreal Canadiens: Mike Matheson (D), out, lower body, estimated return on November 14, 2026; Ivan Demidov (RW), LTIR, ankle, estimated return on November 14, 2026; Sam Montembeault (G), LTIR, lower body, estimated return on November 12, 2026; Bryce Pickford (D) and Lucas Condotta (LW), LTIR, estimated return on November 30, 2026

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	1.86@6.0	2.01@6.0	1.82	2.08
1xBet	1.73@5.5	2.21@5.5	2.34	2.71
Betclic	—	—	2.25	2.55
Winamax	—	—	2.15	2.40
Unibet	—	—	2.15	2.45
888sport	2.00@6.5	1.80@6.5	1.80	2.00

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

3MTL

BOS2

03/17/26BOS — MTL2 – 3

01/24/26MTL — BOS3 – 4

12/23/25MTL — BOS6 – 2

11/15/25BOS — MTL3 – 2

04/03/25BOS — MTL1 – 4

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

MTL STAT

BOS

3.80

Buts/Match ?

3.70

2.60

Buts encaissés ?

2.40

3.46

xG For ?

3.27

16.7%

PP% ?

25.0%

75.0%

PK% ?

72.7%

91.3%

Save% ?

91.0%

47.8%

CF% ?

47.9%

14.0%

Sh% ?

13.9%

Frequently asked questions

When is MTL @ BOS played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-12.

Where can I find a prediction for MTL @ BOS?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.