WSH @ OTT NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Canadian Tire Centre

WSH

Washington Capitals

Away

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5W - 5L

11/11/2026
Start 00:00

--d --h --m

OTT

Ottawa Senators

Home

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4W - 5L

Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

GOALIES

Logan Thompson

Probable

SV%0.889

GSAx/G+0.14

Samuel Ersson

Confirmed

SV%0.889

GSAx/G-0.16

Moneyline

WSH

2.45 41% impl.

Moneyline

OTT

2.20 46% impl.

Total 6.5 O 2.03 / U 1.86

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Ottawa Senators: Samuel Ersson (confirmed starter) — 0.881 save percentage, 3.11 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) -0.39 over his last 10 starts

● Washington Capitals: Logan Thompson (probable starter) — 0.907 save percentage, 2.63 GAA, GSAx +0.61 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Ottawa has 11 wins, 6 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 18 games, for 23 standings points. Washington is 9 wins and 6 losses in 15 games, for 18 standings points. Ottawa last played on November 7, 2026, after 2 days of rest. Washington played the same day and also has 2 days of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Ottawa Senators: Andre Burakovsky (left wing, long-term injured reserve (LTIR)), Warren Foegele (left wing, LTIR), William Eklund (left wing, LTIR)

● Washington Capitals: Patrick Thomas (center, LTIR), Rasmus Sandin (defenseman, LTIR), Vincent Desharnais (defenseman, LTIR)

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	2.03@6.5	1.86@6.5	1.88	2.04
1xBet	1.68@5.5	2.29@5.5	2.38	2.64
Betclic	—	—	2.25	2.52
Winamax	—	—	2.20	2.45
Unibet	—	—	2.20	2.45
888sport	2.00@6.5	1.80@6.5	1.80	2.00

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

3WSH

OTT2

03/18/26OTT — WSH1 – 4

01/01/26WSH — OTT3 – 4

10/25/25OTT — WSH7 – 1

03/03/25OTT — WSH4 – 5

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

WSH STAT

OTT

3.50

Buts/Match ?

3.20

3.90

Buts encaissés ?

3.30

3.51

xG For ?

3.51

26.1%

PP% ?

13.0%

71.4%

PK% ?

66.7%

85.7%

Save% ?

87.9%

48.8%

CF% ?

51.9%

12.3%

Sh% ?

11.5%

Frequently asked questions

When is WSH @ OTT played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-10.

Where can I find a prediction for WSH @ OTT?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.