COL @ TOR NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Scotiabank Arena

COL

Colorado Avalanche

Away

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5W - 5L

11/11/2026
Start 00:00

--d --h --m

TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

Home

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5W - 5L

Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

GOALIES

Mackenzie Blackwood

Probable

SV%0.901

GSAx/G+0.07

Sergei Bobrovsky

Confirmed

SV%0.886

GSAx/G-0.03

Moneyline

COL

1.90 53% impl.

Moneyline

TOR

2.85 35% impl.

Total 6.5 O 2.12 / U 2.02

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Toronto Maple Leafs: Sergei Bobrovsky (confirmed) — 0.890 save percentage, 3.29 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.18 over his last 10 starts

● Colorado Avalanche: Mackenzie Blackwood (probable starter) — 0.892 save percentage, 2.85 GAA, GSAx +0.00 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Toronto is 8-9-2 in 19 games, good for 18 standings points. Its last game was on November 8, 2026, giving it 1 day of rest. Colorado is 10-6-2 in 18 games, good for 22 standings points. Its last game was on November 7, 2026, giving it 2 days of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Toronto Maple Leafs: Colton Sissons (C), questionable; Jack Roslovic (C), questionable; Morgan Rielly (D), questionable; Cade Webber (D), long-term injured reserve (LTIR); Elvis Merzlikins (G), LTIR; Kirill Marchenko (RW), LTIR; 5 other absences.

● Colorado Avalanche: Josh Manson (D), LTIR; Zachary L'Heureux (LW), LTIR.

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	1.87@6.5	2.02@6.5	2.47	1.61
1xBet	2.12@6.5	1.79@6.5	3.21	2.02
Betclic	—	—	2.95	1.96
Winamax	—	—	2.85	1.92
Unibet	—	—	2.85	1.90
888sport	1.91@6.5	1.91@6.5	2.30	1.61

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

1COL

TOR4

10/10/26TOR — COL6 – 3

01/25/26COL — TOR4 – 1

01/12/26TOR — COL4 – 3

03/19/25COL — TOR1 – 2

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

COL STAT

TOR

3.70

Buts/Match ?

3.60

3.40

Buts encaissés ?

3.20

3.50

xG For ?

3.07

20.0%

PP% ?

42.1%

73.1%

PK% ?

75.0%

88.2%

Save% ?

88.9%

52.8%

CF% ?

47.9%

12.2%

Sh% ?

12.7%

Frequently asked questions

When is COL @ TOR played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-10.

Where can I find a prediction for COL @ TOR?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.