PIT @ LAK NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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PITLAKOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Los Angeles is 5-7-2 in 14 games (5 wins, 7 regulation losses and 2 losses in overtime or the shootout), with 12 standings points, and comes in with 2 days of rest since its game on November 4, 2026. Pittsburgh is 5-9-2 in 16 games (5 wins, 9 regulation losses and 2 losses in overtime or the shootout), with 12 standings points. The Penguins play this game on 1 day of rest, since their outing on November 5, 2026.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Murashov, a confirmed starter, has a .890 save percentage versus .870 for Kuemper, who is only a probable starter. Pittsburgh has the higher share of shot attempts at 5-on-5 (54.2 vs. 50.5), while expected goals for remain close (3.27 vs. 3.08). In terms of results, Pittsburgh has allowed 3.60 goals per game over 10 games, versus 3.00 for Los Angeles. The Penguins are playing on 1 day of rest, the Kings on 2.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick. Our model gives the Pittsburgh Penguins 60.8%, while the 2.070 odds imply 48.3%. The numbers favor them on shot share and expected goals, but point the other way on goals against and the season record.
TOTALS: No total pick. Our model projects 5.55 goals against a line of 6.5, which is 0.95 goals below the line, on the UNDER side. The last five head-to-head meetings all finished under 6.5, which points the same way. Both goalies being under a .900 save percentage points the other way.
Kuemper, only a probable starter, is allowing 3.72 goals per game over his last 10 starts. If the game opens up, the 6.5 line could be approached, and a different goalie could also change the read on the moneyline.
We are not playing this game: no moneyline pick and no total pick.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT |
3.27 | 3.44 | 54.2% | 16.7% | 70.0% |
| LAK |
3.08 | 3.22 | 50.5% | 21.7% | 47.1% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
PIT
STAT
LAK
Frequently asked questions
When was PIT @ LAK played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-07.
Where can I find the prediction for PIT @ LAK?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
