ANA @ EDM NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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ANAEDMOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Edmonton is 11 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime or shootout losses in 16 games, for 25 standings points. Edmonton played on November 3, 2026 and has one day of rest. Anaheim is 7 wins, 7 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 15 games, for 15 standings points. Anaheim played on November 3, 2026 and has one day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The goalie matchup tilts one way: Laurent Brossoit has a 0.922 save percentage and a 2.01 GAA, compared with 0.883 and 3.53 for Matt Tomkins, both probable starters. At 5-on-5, shot attempt share is close: 48.8% for Anaheim, 48.0% for Edmonton. Anaheim generates more expected goals (3.08 vs. 2.94) but allows clearly more (3.84 vs. 2.92), and its goals against reach 4.20 per game vs. 2.60 for Edmonton. Both teams have one day of rest, so fatigue does not separate them.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick. Our model gives the Anaheim Ducks a 39.5% chance, and the 2.610 odds imply 38.3%, an edge of 1.2 points, which is too thin. The numbers pull in two directions: Brossoit's edge in goal, against an Anaheim defense that allows a lot.
TOTALS: No total pick. Our model projects 6.20 goals against a line of 7.0, which is 0.80 goals below the line, on the Under side. The numbers partly contradict that read: Edmonton scores 3.80 goals per game, Anaheim allows 4.20, and Tomkins remains at a 0.883 save percentage.
The point that could change the read is Edmonton's goalie: Tomkins, at a 0.883 save percentage, could let the total climb. In the head-to-head table, four of the last five games reached or exceeded 7 goals, up to 11 goals on April 24, 2026.
We are not playing this game: no moneyline pick and no total pick.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA |
3.08 | 3.84 | 48.8% | 40.9% | 66.7% |
| EDM |
2.94 | 2.92 | 48.0% | 47.8% | 75.0% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
ANA
STAT
EDM
Frequently asked questions
When was ANA @ EDM played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-05.
Where can I find the prediction for ANA @ EDM?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
