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VGK @ PIT NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · PPG Paints Arena
VGKVGK
Vegas Golden Knights
Away
★Follow
5W - 4L · B2B
VS
11/04/2026
Start 00:00
--d --h --m
PITPIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
Home
★Follow
2W - 6L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
GOALIES
Adin Hill
Probable
SV%0.891
GSAx/G-0.30
Arturs Silovs
Confirmed
SV%0.889
GSAx/G+0.28
Moneyline
VGKVGK
2.05 49% impl.
Moneyline
PITPIT
1.87 54% impl.
Total 6.5 O 1.86 / U 2.03
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Pittsburgh Penguins: Arturs Silovs (probable starter) — .889 save percentage, 3.00 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.04 over his last 10 starts
● Vegas Golden Knights: Adin Hill (probable starter) — .889 save percentage, 2.82 GAA, GSAx -0.31 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Pittsburgh is 5-7-2 in 14 games (overtime/shootout losses included in the third number), for 12 standings points. Pittsburgh has 2 days of rest, with its last game on October 31, 2026. Vegas is 9-5-1 in 15 games (overtime/shootout losses included in the third number), for 19 standings points. Vegas is on the second night of a back-to-back, after playing the night before, on November 2, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Pittsburgh Penguins: Justin Brazeau (RW, out), Bryan Rust (RW, long-term injured reserve (LTIR)), Elmer Soderblom (LW, LTIR), Ryan Graves (D, LTIR), Trevor van Riemsdyk (D, LTIR).
● Vegas Golden Knights: Parker Wotherspoon (D, LTIR).

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Head-to-Head

2VGK
PIT3
10/17/26PIT — VGK2 – 6
03/12/26PIT — VGK2 – 6
03/01/26VGK — PIT0 – 5
03/11/25VGK — PIT2 – 3
03/11/25VGK — PIT2 – 3

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

VGK STAT PIT
3.30
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.70
2.90
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.50
3.34
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.29
21.7%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
13.6%
46.7%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
76.2%
88.8%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
87.8%
50.6%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
50.6%
11.2%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
10.1%

Frequently asked questions

When is VGK @ PIT played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-04.

Where can I find a prediction for VGK @ PIT?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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