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MIN @ PHI NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Wells Fargo Center
MINMIN
Minnesota Wild
Away
★Follow
6W - 4L
VS
11/04/2026
Start 00:00
--d --h --m
PHIPHI
Philadelphia Flyers
Home
★Follow
3W - 6L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
GOALIES
Jesper Wallstedt
Confirmed
SV%0.920
GSAx/G+0.78
Dan Vladar
Confirmed
SV%0.885
GSAx/G+0.02
Moneyline
MINMIN
1.58 63% impl.
Moneyline
PHIPHI
2.56 39% impl.
Total 6.0 O 2.05 / U 1.85
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Philadelphia Flyers: Dan Vladar (confirmed) — .905 save percentage, 2.66 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.41 over his last 10 starts
● Minnesota Wild: Jesper Wallstedt (confirmed) — .912 save percentage, 2.30 GAA, GSAx +0.53 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Philadelphia has 4 wins, 8 regulation losses and 4 overtime or shootout losses after 16 games, for 12 standings points. Its last game was on November 1, 2026, and it has 1 day of rest. Minnesota has 10 wins, 3 regulation losses and 3 overtime or shootout losses after 16 games, for 23 standings points. Its last game was on November 1, 2026, and it has 1 day of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Philadelphia Flyers: Nikita Grebenkin (RW), long-term injured reserve (LTIR), estimated return February 13, 2027; Rasmus Ristolainen (D), LTIR, estimated return November 11, 2026
● Minnesota Wild: Brock Faber (D), Jared Spurgeon (D), Filip Gustavsson (G), Marcus Foligno (LW) and Nick Foligno (LW), all on LTIR, estimated returns between November 3 and November 19, 2026

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Head-to-Head

2MIN
PHI3
03/12/26PHI — MIN3 – 2
10/18/25MIN — PHI1 – 2
10/18/25MIN — PHI1 – 2
12/14/24PHI — MIN1 – 4
12/14/24PHI — MIN1 – 4

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

MIN STAT PHI
3.20
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.30
2.60
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.10
4.26
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.68
23.1%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
26.1%
72.7%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
84.6%
89.0%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
88.5%
55.4%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
47.8%
10.1%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
9.4%

Frequently asked questions

When is MIN @ PHI played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-04.

Where can I find a prediction for MIN @ PHI?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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