COL @ CBJ NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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COLCBJOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Columbus is 5-7-0 in 12 games, with 0 overtime or shootout losses, for 10 standings points. Its last game was on October 31, 2026, which gives it 2 days of rest. Colorado is 9-5-1 in 15 games, with 1 overtime or shootout loss, for 19 standings points, and it is on the second night of a back-to-back after its November 2, 2026 game.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Over his last 10 starts, Scott Wedgewood has a 0.942 save percentage and a GSAx of +1.11, compared with 0.870 and -0.34 for Cam Talbot. At 5-on-5, Colorado has 52.3% of shot attempts to Columbus's 47.9%, and its expected goals are higher: 3.36 to 2.82. Actual goals follow the same pattern, 3.80 per game for Colorado to 2.10 for Columbus. The only drag is Colorado's back-to-back, against a rested team.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our lean is Colorado Avalanche @ 1.860. Our model gives them 72.9%, while the odds imply 53.8%. The numbers point the same way: a better-ranked goalie, higher expected goals and shot share, and Colorado has won the three most recent head-to-head meetings, including 4-0 and 4-1.
TOTALS: Our model leans Over 6.5, but the price does not pay for that scenario: its projection of 6.64 goals clears the line by only 0.14 goals. Colorado scores 3.80 goals per game, but Columbus scores only 2.10, and an Over 6.5 loses at 6 goals. No pick on this market.
Colorado is playing on the eve of a road trip, and tired legs could open the door for a rested Columbus. That is the weak point of this read: no data in the tables measures the effect of this back-to-back.
Our lean is Colorado Avalanche @ 1.860, with no official pick. We are not playing the total.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLB2B |
3.50 | 2.87 | 52.6% | 15.4% | 61.9% |
| CBJ |
2.82 | 3.48 | 47.9% | 4.2% | 60.9% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
COL
STAT
CBJ
Frequently asked questions
When was COL @ CBJ played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-03.
Where can I find the prediction for COL @ CBJ?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
