OTT @ LAK NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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OTTLAKOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Los Angeles is 3-6-2 in 11 games (3 wins, 6 losses, and 2 overtime or shootout losses), good for 8 standings points. The Kings have 1 day of rest, with their last game played on October 27, 2026. Ottawa is 8-5-0 in 13 games (8 wins, 5 losses, and 0 overtime or shootout losses), good for 16 standings points. The Senators have 1 day of rest, with their last game played on October 27, 2026.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The goalie matchup is still wide open: Kuemper has a 0.875 save percentage and a GSAx of -0.48, while Johansson is at 0.866 and -1.14. At 5-on-5, the share of shot attempts is close (49.2% for Los Angeles, 49.5% for Ottawa). Ottawa shows lower expected goals against (2.78 vs. 3.22) and lower actual goals allowed (2.80 vs. 3.70). Both teams have 1 day of rest, so fatigue doesn't separate them, and an open game mostly comes down to which of the two goalies breaks first.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick: our estimate lines up with the market price. Our model gives the Los Angeles Kings 49.2%, while the 2.050 odds imply 48.8%. The numbers partly point in opposite directions, since Ottawa has better expected goals against and lower goals allowed.
TOTALS: No total pick. Our model projects 6.38 goals against a line of 6.0, which is 0.38 goals above the line, on the over side. Goalies with a save percentage under 0.900 point in that direction. Goals scored over the last 10 games point the other way, at 2.20 for Los Angeles and 2.60 for Ottawa.
The factor that could change this read is the uncertainty around Drew Doughty, Corey Perry and Warren Foegele, all three reported as returning on October 29, 2026. Whether they play or not would change the lineups.
We are not playing this game: no moneyline pick and no total pick.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT |
3.19 | 2.89 | 48.5% | 17.7% | 72.0% |
| LAK |
2.74 | 3.12 | 49.8% | 23.8% | 59.1% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
OTT
STAT
LAK
Frequently asked questions
When was OTT @ LAK played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-29.
Where can I find the prediction for OTT @ LAK?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
