NYI @ MIN NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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NYIMINOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Minnesota Wild are 9-3-2 through 14 games (20 standings points), with the 2 losses coming in overtime or the shootout. Their last game was on October 27, 2026, giving them 1 day of rest. New York Islanders are 6-4-2 through 12 games (14 standings points), with the 2 losses coming in overtime or the shootout. Their last game was also on October 27, 2026, and they also have 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Both goalies are probable starters, and their 10-start numbers are close: a .915 save percentage for Wallstedt, .911 for Sorokin. At 5-on-5, Minnesota holds a slight edge with 53.5% of shot attempts against 51.1% for New York. Minnesota generates 4.14 expected goals per game, compared with 2.98 for the Islanders, and allows 2.98 compared with 3.31. The Islanders are playing without Barzal, Ritchie and Maccelli, three forwards from their roster.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our lean is Minnesota Wild @ 1.540. Our model gives Minnesota a 70.8% chance, while the odds imply 64.9%. The numbers point that way: more expected goals, a higher share of shots and an Islanders lineup missing part of its offense. With the goalies so close, 5-on-5 play is what tips the balance.
TOTALS: We are taking UNDER 5.5 @ 2.000. Our model projects 4.90 goals, which is 0.60 goals below the line; the under loses at 6 goals. Actual goals over the last 10 games point the same way: 3.00 for Minnesota and 2.90 for New York. Goals allowed are at 2.60 for Minnesota and 2.20 for New York. The line has stayed at 5.5 since opening.
Minnesota creates 4.14 expected goals per game: if that output turns into actual goals, the 5.5 line could go over. We accept that risk, because Minnesota's actual goals are at 3.00 per game over the same stretch, well below that volume.
We are taking UNDER 5.5 @ 2.000: it is our official pick. On the moneyline, our lean is Minnesota Wild @ 1.540.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI |
2.92 | 3.43 | 49.2% | 27.3% | 85.7% |
| MIN |
4.56 | 2.75 | 54.9% | 26.1% | 76.9% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
NYI
STAT
MIN
Frequently asked questions
When was NYI @ MIN played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-29.
Where can I find the prediction for NYI @ MIN?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
