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TOR @ SEA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Climate Pledge Arena
TORTOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Away
★Follow
6W - 3L
VS
10/29/2026
Start 02:00
--d --h --m
SEASEA
Seattle Kraken
Home
★Follow
4W - 4L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
GOALIES
Sergei Bobrovsky
Confirmed
SV%0.897
GSAx/G+0.29
Philipp Grubauer
Probable
SV%0.907
GSAx/G+0.48
Moneyline
TORTOR
2.05 49% impl.
Moneyline
SEASEA
2.55 39% impl.
Total 6.5 O 2.08 / U 2.07
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Seattle Kraken: Philipp Grubauer (probable starter) — 0.907 save percentage, 2.75 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.32 over his last 10 starts
● Toronto Maple Leafs: Sergei Bobrovsky (confirmed) — 0.898 save percentage, 2.98 GAA, GSAx +0.47 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Seattle has 7 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 12 games (15 standings points). The Kraken have 3 days of rest, after a game on October 24, 2026. Toronto has 7 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime or shootout losses in 14 games (16 standings points). The Maple Leafs have 1 day of rest, after a game on October 26, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Seattle Kraken: Jacob Melanson (RW, long-term injured reserve (LTIR)), Jake O'Brien (C, LTIR), Jared McCann (LW, LTIR), Ryan Lindgren (D, LTIR).
● Toronto Maple Leafs: Kirill Marchenko (RW, questionable), Cade Webber (D, LTIR), Chris Tanev (D, LTIR), Dakota Joshua (C, LTIR), Elvis Merzlikins (G, LTIR), John Tavares (C, LTIR), and 5 other absences.

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Totals OVERTotals UNDER ML HOMEML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.83@6.5 2.07@6.5 2.17 1.78
1xBet 2.08@6.5 1.82@6.5 2.79 2.24
Betclic — — 2.68 2.13
Winamax — — 2.65 2.10
Unibet — — 2.55 2.05
888sport 1.80@6.5 2.00@6.5 2.10 1.73

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

2TOR
SEA3
01/29/26TOR — SEA2 – 5
10/18/25SEA — TOR4 – 3
10/18/25SEA — TOR4 – 3
02/06/25TOR — SEA3 – 1
02/06/25TOR — SEA3 – 1

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT SEA
4.40
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.60
3.30
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.60
3.25
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.89
50.0%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
27.3%
92.6%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
55.0%
89.3%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
88.8%
46.0%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
42.1%
15.2%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
14.1%

Frequently asked questions

When is TOR @ SEA played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-10-28.

Where can I find a prediction for TOR @ SEA?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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