MIN @ SEA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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Our picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Seattle is 7-3-1 in 11 games (7 wins, 3 regulation losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss) for 15 standings points. Its last game was on October 22, 2026, which gives it 1 day of rest. Minnesota is 6-3-2 in 11 games (6 wins, 3 regulation losses and 2 overtime or shootout losses) for 14 standings points. Its last game was also on October 22, 2026, with 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The goaltending matchup tilts toward Wallstedt, a confirmed starter, over Daccord, who is only a probable starter. At five-on-five, Minnesota dominates with 52.0% of shot attempts against 42.8% for Seattle over 10 games. Expected goals point the same way: 3.80 for and 2.98 against for Minnesota, 2.98 for and 3.48 against for Seattle. With rest equal, the game could swing on a goalie shutting the door or on a wide-open third period.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our lean is toward the Minnesota Wild at 1.580. Our model gives the Minnesota Wild a 77.9% chance, while the odds imply 63.3%. The numbers point the same way: Wallstedt has a 0.919 save percentage against 0.885 for Daccord, and Minnesota holds the higher shot share. Minnesota has also won the last five head-to-head meetings, three of them in Seattle.
TOTALS: No pick on the total. Our model's projection is 5.89 goals, which is 0.11 goals under the line of 6.0. The gap is too thin, and the signals are split between Wallstedt, who allows 2.18 goals per game, and Daccord, who allows 3.39.
Seattle scores 3.70 goals per game over its last 10 games, enough to rattle Wallstedt despite his 0.919 save percentage. We accept that risk, since its expected goals are only 2.98 per game, below its actual goals.
AI trend on the Minnesota Wild at 1.580, with no staking advice. We are not playing the total.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 2.98 | 52.0% | 36.4% | 85.7% | |
| 2.98 | 3.48 | 42.8% | 27.3% | 63.2% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
Frequently asked questions
When was MIN @ SEA played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-24.
Where can I find the prediction for MIN @ SEA?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.