DET @ CGY NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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DETCGYOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
The Calgary Flames are 3-6-0 in 9 games (the last number being overtime/shootout losses), for 6 standings points; they played on October 22, 2026 and have 1 day of rest. The Detroit Red Wings are 4-3-3 in 10 games (the last number being overtime/shootout losses), for 11 standings points; they played on October 22, 2026 and have 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The 10-game figures include the end of last season. In goal, Devin Cooley has a .887 save percentage and John Gibson a .871: both remain below .900, with a GSAx of -0.08 for the former and -0.22 for the latter. At 5-on-5, Detroit has higher expected goals for (3.18 vs. 2.81) and lower expected goals against (3.24 vs. 3.57), but the share of shot attempts is close (51.9 vs. 50.0). Neither goalie slams the door: the game could open up, with 1 day of rest on both sides.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our model gives the Calgary Flames a 45.3% chance, and the 2.290 odds imply 43.7%: the edge is slim and we make no pick. The tables point more in the opposite direction, toward Detroit: actual goals against of 3.40 vs. 4.10 and actual goals for of 2.30 vs. 2.10. Detroit has also won the last five head-to-head meetings. Only the gap between the goalies favors Calgary.
TOTALS: No pick on the total. Our model's projection of 5.25 goals sits 0.75 goals below the line of 6.0 (UNDER side). The tables are mixed: actual goals for remain low (2.10 for Calgary, 2.30 for Detroit), but actual goals against are high (4.10 and 3.40), and both goalies are below .900.
The status of John Gibson, listed as questionable (upper body) in the absences section, and that of Mikael Backlund, also questionable, could change this read.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET |
3.18 | 3.24 | 51.9% | 16.1% | 63.0% |
| CGY |
2.81 | 3.57 | 50.0% | 27.8% | 80.0% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
DET
STAT
CGY
Frequently asked questions
When was DET @ CGY played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-24.
Where can I find the prediction for DET @ CGY?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
