DET @ SEA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
Start 01:40
DETSEAOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Seattle is 5-3-1 through 9 games, with 11 standings points (5 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss). Its last game was on October 17, 2026, and it has 2 days of rest. Detroit is 3-3-2 through 8 games, with 8 standings points (3 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime or shootout losses). Its last game was on October 17, 2026, and it has 2 days of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The 10-game numbers include the end of last season. The goalie matchup is close: a 0.907 save percentage for Grubauer, 0.905 for Tarasov, with a GSAx of +0.45 for Tarasov versus +0.16. At 5-on-5, Detroit dominates with 52.3% of shot attempts against 42.4% for Seattle, and its expected goals for are higher (3.13 versus 2.82). Even so, Detroit has scored only 2.30 goals per game while allowing 3.70, while Seattle is at 3.20 scored and 2.90 allowed.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our model gives the Detroit Red Wings a 60.9% chance, while the 1.920 price implies 52.1%. The underlying numbers point that way, with the share of shot attempts and expected goals for. Detroit's actual goals contradict them, and Seattle won 6-3 against Detroit in the last meeting, on October 9, 2026. We are not taking this market.
TOTALS: Our model's projection is 6.23 goals against a line of 6.5, which is 0.27 goals below the line. Our model leans Under, but the price does not pay for that scenario. Detroit's GAA (3.70) and Seattle's expected goals against (3.40) pull toward an open game.
Brandon Montour is questionable and Ryan Lindgren is out: if Seattle's defense is short-handed, its expected goals against (3.40) point to a more open game than the projection. That factor could change our read.
We are passing on this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET |
3.13 | 3.26 | 52.3% | 10.3% | 66.7% |
| SEA |
2.82 | 3.40 | 42.4% | 26.3% | 81.8% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
DET
STAT
SEA
Frequently asked questions
When was DET @ SEA played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-20.
Where can I find the prediction for DET @ SEA?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
