UTA @ EDM NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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UTAEDMOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Edmonton is 5-0-1 in 6 games (11 standings points), with 1 day of rest since its game on October 13, 2026. Utah is 5-2-0 in 7 games (10 standings points), with 1 day of rest since its game on October 13, 2026.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Early in the season, so the 10-game numbers include the end of last season. Devon Levi, confirmed, has a 0.869 save percentage, compared with 0.893 for Karel Vejmelka, the probable starter. At 5-on-5, Utah has the higher shot attempt share (53.2% vs. 48.7%), though the gap isn't clear-cut. Edmonton's actual goals (4.20 scored, 4.00 allowed per game) exceed its expected goals (3.02 for, 2.93 against).
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick. Our model gives the Utah Mammoth a 57.6% chance, while the 2.000 price implies 50.0%. The numbers point that way: Utah has the better shot share and the goalie with stronger numbers. Utah's last three trips to Edmonton ended in losses (3-6, 1-7, 1-4).
TOTALS: No total pick. Our model projects 6.34 goals against a total (over/under) of 6.5, which is 0.16 goals under the line, a thin gap. The numbers point the other way: both goalies are below a 0.900 save percentage, Edmonton scores 4.20 goals per game and allows 4.00, and the last three meetings in Edmonton produced 9, 8 and 5 total goals.
The status of Zach Hyman and Jake Walman, both questionable for this October 15, 2026 game, could change the picture, as could confirmation of Karel Vejmelka, who is still a probable starter.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA |
3.29 | 3.09 | 53.2% | 35.5% | 78.6% |
| EDM |
3.02 | 2.93 | 48.7% | 31.8% | 42.9% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
UTA
STAT
EDM
Frequently asked questions
When was UTA @ EDM played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-15.
Where can I find the prediction for UTA @ EDM?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
