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TBL @ NYR NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Madison Square Garden
TBLTBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
Away
★Follow
6W - 4L
VS
10/13/2026
Start 23:15
--d --h --m
NYRNYR
New York Rangers
Home
★Follow
5W - 5L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Confirmed
SV%0.892
GSAx/G+0.05
Dylan Garand
Confirmed
SV%0.945
GSAx/G+0.56
Moneyline
TBLTBL
1.94 52% impl.
Moneyline
NYRNYR
2.85 35% impl.
Total 6.0 O 1.93 / U 1.96
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● New York Rangers: Dylan Garand (probable starter) — 0.000 save percentage, 0.00 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.00 over his last 10 starts
● Tampa Bay Lightning: Andrei Vasilevskiy (probable starter) — 0.908 save percentage, 2.14 GAA, GSAx +0.46 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

New York has a 5-2 record in 7 games, with 10 standings points. The Rangers last played on October 11, 2026, and have 1 day of rest. Tampa Bay has a 4-1 record in 5 games, with 8 standings points, and has had 2 days of rest since its October 10, 2026 game.

KEY ABSENCES

● New York Rangers: Adam Sykora (LW), long-term injured reserve (LTIR); Aidan Thompson (C), LTIR; Igor Shesterkin (G), LTIR; Joe Veleno (C), LTIR; Joonas Korpisalo (G), LTIR
● Tampa Bay Lightning: Emil Lilleberg (D), questionable; Yanni Gourde (C), LTIR

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Totals OVERTotals UNDER ML HOMEML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.93@6.0 1.96@6.0 2.40 1.64
1xBet 1.76@5.5 2.15@5.5 3.12 2.09
Betclic — — 2.95 1.97
Winamax — — 2.85 1.94
Unibet — — 2.80 1.89

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

1TBL
NYR4
10/01/26TBL — NYR1 – 5
04/15/26NYR — TBL4 – 2
11/29/25TBL — NYR4 – 1
11/12/25NYR — TBL7 – 3
04/17/25TBL — NYR0 – 4

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

TBL STAT NYR
2.30
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.60
2.10
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
2.30
3.32
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.06
12.5%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
33.3%
85.2%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
87.0%
91.0%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
90.3%
55.7%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
48.9%
7.7%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
11.4%

Frequently asked questions

When is TBL @ NYR played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-10-13.

Where can I find a prediction for TBL @ NYR?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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