CGY @ ANA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
Start 01:45
CGYANAOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
Anaheim is 4-1-0 through 5 games, with 8 standings points. Its last game was on October 10, 2026, after 2 days of rest. Calgary is 0-5-0 through 5 games, with 0 standings points. Its last game was on October 10, 2026, after 2 days of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The 10-game stats include the end of last season. Dostal has a .857 save percentage and Wolf (probable) has a .893, so both goalies remain below .900. At 5-on-5, Anaheim has the higher shot share (53.2% vs. 48.2%) and higher expected goals (3.05 vs. 2.43). Both teams had 2 days of rest, with no back-to-back.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our model gives the Calgary Flames a 48.9% chance, while the 2.480 odds imply 40.3%. The numbers point in opposite directions: Anaheim has the edge at 5-on-5, has scored 2.70 goals per game vs. 1.90 for Calgary over 10 games, and has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent one, 4-2. No moneyline pick.
TOTALS: Our model's projection is 6.30 goals, 0.30 goals above the 6.0 line. Expected goals against are 3.26 for Anaheim and 3.56 for Calgary, and both goalies are below a .900 save percentage. Calgary is scoring only 1.90 goals per game over 10 games, against 2.43 expected goals. Our model leans Over 6.0, but the odds don't pay off that scenario.
Wolf is only a probable starter, and Gauthier and Poehling are questionable for Anaheim. Their status could change how the game plays out.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY |
2.43 | 3.56 | 48.2% | 22.2% | 92.3% |
| ANA |
3.05 | 3.26 | 53.2% | 29.6% | 72.0% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
CGY
STAT
ANA
Frequently asked questions
When was CGY @ ANA played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-13.
Where can I find the prediction for CGY @ ANA?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
