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TOR @ COL NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Ball Arena
TORTOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Away
★Follow
2W - 8L
VS
10/10/2026
Start 23:00
--d --h --m
COLCOL
Colorado Avalanche
Home
★Follow
4W - 6L
Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Sergei Bobrovsky
Confirmed
SV%0.907
GSAx/G+1.17
Mackenzie Blackwood
Confirmed
SV%0.867
GSAx/G-1.03
Moneyline
TORTOR
2.94 34% impl.
Moneyline
COLCOL
1.46 69% impl.
Total 6.5 O 1.82 / U 2.09
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

AI Trend Toronto Maple Leafs
Edge vs market
+6.5 %
Odds
2.94
Market
Winner (Moneyline)
Pick taken on 10/10 · 13:16 — odds at the time: 2.94 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 6.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
2.04
Market
Total Goals (O/U)
Pick taken on 10/10 · 13:16 — odds at the time: 2.04 (CLV tracking)

Key Factors

xGF (10g)
2.81vs3.43
xGA (10g)
4.27vs3.14
Corsi%
46.7%vs56.6%
PP% / PK%
35/81vs25/80
Rest
1dvs1d
TeamxGF (10g)xGA (10g)Corsi%PP%PK%
TOR 2.81 4.27 46.7% 34.8% 80.8%
COL 3.43 3.14 56.6% 25.0% 80.0%
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Head-to-Head

3TOR
COL2
01/25/26COL — TOR4 – 1
01/12/26TOR — COL4 – 3
03/19/25COL — TOR1 – 2
03/19/25COL — TOR1 – 2
03/08/25TOR — COL4 – 7

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT COL
2.80
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.30
4.20
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.20
2.81
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.43
34.8%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
25.0%
80.8%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
80.0%
86.2%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
86.9%
46.7%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
56.6%
11.5%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
10.1%

Frequently asked questions

When was TOR @ COL played?

This NHL game was played on 2026-10-10.

Where can I find the prediction for TOR @ COL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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