ANA @ CGY NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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ANACGYOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
The Calgary Flames have 0 wins and 4 losses in 4 games, for 0 standings points. Their last game was on October 8, 2026, giving them 1 day of rest. The Anaheim Ducks have 3 wins and 1 loss in 4 games, for 6 standings points, and are on the second night of a back-to-back after their game on October 9, 2026.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The 10-game numbers include the end of last season. Dustin Wolf has a 0.909 save percentage versus 0.889 for Ville Husso, the probable starter, but Husso's GSAx is higher (+0.24 versus +0.18). At 5-on-5, Anaheim dominates with 53.5% of shot attempts versus 46.9% for Calgary, and its expected goals are 3.07 per game versus 2.58. Calgary allows 3.73 expected goals per game, and Anaheim is on the second night of a back-to-back.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick. Our model gives the Calgary Flames 57.0%, while the odds of 2.060 imply 48.5%. The numbers point the opposite way from this estimate: Anaheim leads in shot share and expected goals, and Calgary has no standings points.
TOTALS: No total pick. Our model projects 6.65 goals, 0.15 goal above the 6.5 line, on the Over side. Both goalies allow between 2.81 and 3.17 goals per game, but Calgary scores only 2.10 goals per game. An Over 6.5 loses at 6 goals or fewer.
Husso is only a probable starter: a goalie change for Anaheim would alter the read on the goaltending matchup. Anaheim's fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back could also weigh on the second half of the game.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANAB2B |
3.07 | 3.35 | 53.5% | 32.1% | 66.7% |
| CGY |
2.58 | 3.73 | 46.9% | 22.2% | 88.5% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
ANA
STAT
CGY
Frequently asked questions
When was ANA @ CGY played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-10-10.
Where can I find the prediction for ANA @ CGY?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
