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COL @ CGY NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Scotiabank Saddledome
COLCOL
Colorado Avalanche
Away
★Follow
5W - 5L · B2B
VS
10/09/2026
Start 01:00
--d --h --m
CGYCGY
Calgary Flames
Home
★Follow
3W - 7L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Scott Wedgewood
Confirmed
Devin Cooley
Confirmed
SV%0.880
GSAx/G-0.18
Moneyline
COLCOL
1.42 70% impl.
Moneyline
CGYCGY
3.09 32% impl.
Total 6.0 O 1.85 / U 2.04
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Calgary Flames: Devin Cooley (confirmed) — 0.890 save percentage, 3.34 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.24 over his last 10 starts
● Colorado Avalanche: Scott Wedgewood (probable starter) — 0.955 save percentage, 1.11 GAA, GSAx +1.69 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Calgary is 0-3 through 3 games, with 0 standings points. The Flames have had 3 days of rest, with their last game coming on October 4, 2026. Colorado is 2-1 through 3 games, with 4 standings points, and plays the second night of a back-to-back after its October 7, 2026 game.

KEY ABSENCES

● Calgary Flames: Jonathan Huberdeau (LW) — long-term injured reserve (LTIR), hip, surgery, estimated return October 10, 2026
● Colorado Avalanche: Georgii Merkulov (C) — LTIR, estimated return October 16, 2026; Logan O'Connor (RW) — LTIR, lower body, estimated return October 8, 2026; Trent Miner (G) — LTIR, estimated return October 10, 2026

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Totals OVER Totals UNDER ML HOME ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.85@6.0 2.04@6.0 3.09 1.42
1xBet 1.70@5.5 2.27@5.5 4.16 1.74
Betclic — — 3.90 1.69
Winamax — — 3.65 1.64
Unibet — — 3.60 1.62

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

3COL
CGY2
04/14/26COL — CGY3 – 1
04/09/26CGY — COL1 – 3
03/30/26CGY — COL2 – 9
03/31/25CGY — COL3 – 2
03/31/25CGY — COL3 – 2

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

COL STAT CGY
3.60
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.30
3.10
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.50
3.46
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.51
30.4%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
16.7%
80.0%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
87.1%
87.9%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
88.9%
55.2%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
44.1%
11.4%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
9.5%

Frequently asked questions

When is COL @ CGY played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-10-08.

Where can I find a prediction for COL @ CGY?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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