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VGK @ SEA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Climate Pledge Arena
VGKVGK
Vegas Golden Knights
Away
★Follow
5W - 5L
VS
10/07/2026
Start 01:40
--d --h --m
SEASEA
Seattle Kraken
Home
★Follow
2W - 7L
Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Adin Hill
TBD
SV%0.900
GSAx/G-0.49
Joey Daccord
Confirmed
SV%0.966
GSAx/G+1.62
Goalies have not been confirmed yet. Our picks will be validated once the official starting goalies are announced.
Moneyline
VGKVGK
1.90 53% impl.
Moneyline
SEASEA
2.95 34% impl.
Total 5.5 O 1.74 / U 2.20
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

AI Trend Vegas Golden Knights
Edge vs market
+28.0 %
Odds
1.90
Market
Winner (Moneyline)
Pick taken on 06/10 · 13:16 — odds at the time: 1.90 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 6
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.99
Market
Total Goals (O/U)
Pick taken on 06/10 · 13:16 — odds at the time: 1.99 (CLV tracking)

Key Factors

xGF (10g)
3.18vs2.48
xGA (10g)
2.65vs3.31
Corsi%
48.6%vs47.4%
PP% / PK%
22/79vs19/71
Rest
1dvs1d
TeamxGF (10g)xGA (10g)Corsi%PP%PK%
VGK 3.18 2.65 48.6% 21.7% 79.2%
SEA 2.48 3.31 47.4% 18.8% 70.6%
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Head-to-Head

1VGK
SEA4
04/15/26SEA — VGK1 – 4
04/09/26VGK — SEA3 – 4
01/31/26SEA — VGK3 – 2
10/11/25VGK — SEA1 – 2
10/11/25VGK — SEA1 – 2

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

VGK STAT SEA
3.30
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.40
3.40
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.40
3.18
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.48
21.7%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
18.8%
79.2%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
70.6%
87.2%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
88.4%
48.6%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
47.4%
12.3%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
9.2%

Frequently asked questions

When was VGK @ SEA played?

This NHL game was played on 2026-10-06.

Where can I find the prediction for VGK @ SEA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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