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NYI @ NYR NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Madison Square Garden
NYINYI
New York Islanders
Away
★Follow
2W - 8L
VS
10/06/2026
Start 23:30
--d --h --m
NYRNYR
New York Rangers
Home
★Follow
5W - 5L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Semyon Varlamov
Confirmed
Igor Shesterkin
Confirmed
SV%0.934
GSAx/G+1.28
Moneyline
NYINYI
2.85 35% impl.
Moneyline
NYRNYR
1.94 52% impl.
Total 5.5 O 1.87 / U 2.01
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● New York Rangers: Igor Shesterkin (confirmed) — 0.916 save percentage, 2.03 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.38 over his last 10 starts
● New York Islanders: Semyon Varlamov (confirmed) — 0.899 save percentage, 2.60 GAA, GSAx +0.00 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

The Rangers are 3 wins and 1 loss through 4 games, good for 6 standings points. Their last game was on October 4, 2026, and they have 1 day of rest. The Islanders are 1 win and 1 loss through 2 games, good for 2 standings points, and they have 2 days of rest since their last game on October 3, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● New York Rangers: Joe Veleno (C) — out (lower body); Adam Sykora (LW) — long-term injured reserve (LTIR) (lower body); Aidan Thompson (C) — LTIR (undisclosed); Joonas Korpisalo (G) — LTIR (lower body)
● New York Islanders: Mathew Barzal (C) — LTIR (knee)

Full analysis and verdict

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Totals OVER Totals UNDER ML HOME ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.85@5.5 2.04@5.5 1.63 2.42
1xBet 1.87@5.5 2.01@5.5 2.09 3.15
Betclic — — 2.00 3.03
Winamax — — 1.94 2.85
Unibet — — 1.89 2.80

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

4NYI
NYR1
09/25/26NYR — NYI6 – 1
09/22/26NYI — NYR4 – 3
01/29/26NYI — NYR2 – 1
01/28/26NYR — NYI2 – 5
12/27/25NYR — NYI0 – 2

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

NYI STAT NYR
2.30
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.00
3.60
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
2.10
3.65
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.90
14.8%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
34.8%
72.2%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
95.8%
85.5%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
91.3%
52.0%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
49.5%
8.1%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
12.7%

Frequently asked questions

When is NYI @ NYR played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-10-06.

Where can I find a prediction for NYI @ NYR?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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