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OTT @ BOS NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · TD Garden
OTTOTT
Ottawa Senators
Away
★Follow
5W - 5L
VS
10/05/2026
Start 23:30
--d --h --m
BOSBOS
Boston Bruins
Home
★Follow
6W - 4L
Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Linus Ullmark
Confirmed
SV%0.931
GSAx/G+1.16
Jeremy Swayman
Confirmed
SV%0.947
GSAx/G+1.24
Moneyline
OTTOTT
1.89 53% impl.
Moneyline
BOSBOS
2.02 50% impl.
Total 5.5 O 1.88 / U 2.01
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Boston Bruins: Jeremy Swayman (confirmed) — 0.935 save percentage, 1.80 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) of +1.05 over his last 10 starts
● Ottawa Senators: Linus Ullmark (confirmed) — 0.923 save percentage, 1.99 GAA, GSAx of +0.66 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Boston has 2 wins and 1 loss, with no overtime or shootout losses (3 games, 4 standings points). The Bruins have 1 day of rest after their last game on October 3, 2026. Ottawa has 1 win and no losses (1 game, 2 standings points), with 1 day of rest after its game on October 3, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Boston Bruins: Charlie McAvoy (D) — suspended, estimated return October 13, 2026; Matthew Poitras (C) — long-term injured reserve (LTIR), estimated return October 5, 2026
● Ottawa Senators: Jake Sanderson (D) — uncertain; Artem Zub (D) — LTIR; Andre Burakovsky (LW) — uncertain; Blake Montgomery (LW) — LTIR; Kurtis MacDermid (LW) — LTIR

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Totals OVER Totals UNDER ML HOME ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.88@5.5 2.01@5.5 2.02 1.89
1xBet 1.89@5.5 1.99@5.5 2.62 2.45
Betclic — — 2.50 2.37
Winamax — — 2.45 2.30
Unibet — — 2.35 2.20

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

4OTT
BOS1
12/21/25OTT — BOS6 – 2
11/13/25BOS — OTT3 – 5
11/06/25OTT — BOS2 – 3
10/27/25BOS — OTT2 – 7
03/13/25BOS — OTT3 – 6

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

OTT STAT BOS
3.10
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
2.60
2.20
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
2.50
3.81
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
2.75
36.0%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
5.9%
88.5%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
93.5%
92.4%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
91.7%
47.6%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
46.0%
10.9%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
10.3%

Frequently asked questions

When is OTT @ BOS played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-10-05.

Where can I find a prediction for OTT @ BOS?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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