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PHI @ NJD NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Prudential Center
PHIPHI
Philadelphia Flyers
Away
★Follow
4W - 6L · B2B
VS
10/01/2026
Start 23:00
--d --h --m
NJDNJD
New Jersey Devils
Home
★Follow
5W - 4L
Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
Joseph Woll
Confirmed
SV%0.898
GSAx/G-0.17
Jake Allen
Confirmed
SV%0.903
GSAx/G+0.17
Moneyline
PHIPHI
3.20 31% impl.
Moneyline
NJDNJD
1.88 53% impl.
Total 6.0 O 2.06 / U 1.84
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

Official New Jersey Devils
Model confidence70 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+14.1 %
Odds
1.88
Market
Winner (Moneyline)
Pick taken on 01/10 · 20:09 — odds at the time: 1.88 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend OVER 5.5
Model confidence66 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.86
Market
Total Goals (O/U)
Pick taken on 01/10 · 20:09 — odds at the time: 1.86 (CLV tracking)

Key Factors

xGF (10g)
2.66vs3.53
xGA (10g)
3.40vs3.24
Corsi%
41.5%vs50.4%
PP% / PK%
11/86vs20/74
Rest
B2Bvs4d
TeamxGF (10g)xGA (10g)Corsi%PP%PK%
PHIB2B 2.66 3.40 41.5% 10.7% 85.7%
NJD 3.53 3.24 50.4% 20.0% 73.9%
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Head-to-Head

4PHI
NJD1
04/07/26PHI — NJD5 – 1
11/29/25PHI — NJD5 – 3
11/22/25NJD — PHI3 – 6
10/04/25NJD — PHI3 – 4
03/09/25NJD — PHI3 – 1

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

PHI STAT NJD
2.10
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.30
2.40
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.40
2.66
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.53
10.7%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
20.0%
85.7%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
73.9%
91.9%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
87.6%
41.5%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
50.4%
8.5%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
11.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was PHI @ NJD played?

This NHL game was played on 2026-10-01.

Where can I find the prediction for PHI @ NJD?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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