NYI @ TOR NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Scotiabank Arena

NYI

New York Islanders

Away

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3W - 7L

09/30/2026
Start 23:30

--d --h --m

TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs

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3W - 7L · B2B

Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

CONFIRMED GOALIES

Ilya Sorokin

Confirmed

SV%0.906

GSAx/G+0.46

Anthony Stolarz

Confirmed

SV%0.893

GSAx/G-0.26

Moneyline

NYI

2.75 36% impl.

Moneyline

TOR

2.23 45% impl.

Total 5.5 O 1.76 / U 2.17

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

GARDIENS CONFIRMES

● TOR: Anthony Stolarz (en difficulté — SV% R10 : 0.899, GAA : 3.18)

● NYI: Ilya Sorokin (sous la moyenne — SV% R10 : 0.887, GAA : 2.95, probable)

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Toronto reçoit les Islanders dans son match à domicile inaugural de la saison 2026-27, cherchant à rebondir après une défaite 3-2 contre Montréal en ouverture. Les deux équipes présentent un bilan catastrophique de 2-8 sur leurs 10 derniers matchs, ancrant ce duel dans une dynamique de reconstruction plutôt que de pression éliminatoire. Le début de saison offre généralement un contexte favorable aux faibles scores, les systèmes défensifs n'étant pas encore pleinement rodés.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● TOR: Max Domi OUT (C/LW), Matthew Knies TRADED (LW)

● NYI: Mathew Barzal GTD (C — inflammation au genou)

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	1.92@6.0	1.97@6.0	1.79	2.14
1xBet	1.76@5.5	2.17@5.5	2.23	2.75
Betclic	—	—	2.22	2.67
Winamax	—	—	2.15	2.60
Unibet	—	—	2.10	2.50

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

3NYI

TOR2

04/09/26TOR — NYI3 – 5

03/17/26NYI — TOR3 – 1

01/03/26TOR — NYI3 – 4

01/02/25TOR — NYI2 – 1

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

NYI STAT

TOR

2.60

Buts/Match ?

3.10

3.70

Buts encaissés ?

4.60

3.97

xG For ?

3.11

16.0%

PP% ?

40.0%

77.8%

PK% ?

72.0%

85.3%

Save% ?

85.6%

51.9%

CF% ?

44.3%

8.6%

Sh% ?

14.2%

Frequently asked questions

When is NYI @ TOR played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-09-30.

Where can I find a prediction for NYI @ TOR?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.