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TOR @ MTL NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Bell Centre
TORTOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Away
Follow
3W - 7L
VS
09/19/2026
Start 23:00
--d --h --m
MTLMTL
Montreal Canadiens
Home
Follow
5W - 5L
Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Goalies have not been confirmed yet. Our picks will be validated once the official starting goalies are announced.
Moneyline
TORTOR
- 50% impl.
Moneyline
MTLMTL
- 50% impl.
Total -
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Key Factors

xGF (10g)
3.11vs3.10
xGA (10g)
4.16vs4.16
Corsi%
44.3%vs42.1%
PP% / PK%
40/72vs35/65
Rest
156dvs112d
TeamxGF (10g)xGA (10g)Corsi%PP%PK%
TOR 3.11 4.16 44.3% 40.0% 72.0%
MTL 3.10 4.16 42.1% 34.8% 65.2%
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Head-to-Head

2TOR
MTL3
03/10/26TOR — MTL1 – 3
12/06/25MTL — TOR2 – 1
11/22/25TOR — MTL2 – 5
10/08/25MTL — TOR2 – 5
10/08/25MTL — TOR2 – 5

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT MTL
3.10
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.50
4.60
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
3.10
3.11
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.10
40.0%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
34.8%
72.0%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
65.2%
85.6%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
90.5%
44.3%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
42.1%
14.2%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
15.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was TOR @ MTL played?

This NHL game was played on 2026-09-19.

Where can I find the prediction for TOR @ MTL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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