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MTL @ TOR NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Scotiabank Arena
MTLMTL
Montreal Canadiens
Away
Follow
5W - 5L
VS
09/19/2026
Start 23:00
--d --h --m
TORTOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Home
Follow
3W - 7L
Analysis due before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
CONFIRMED GOALIES
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Goalies have not been confirmed yet. Our picks will be validated once the official starting goalies are announced.
Moneyline
MTLMTL
- 50% impl.
Moneyline
TORTOR
- 50% impl.
Total -
Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Key Factors

xGF (10g)
3.10vs3.11
xGA (10g)
4.16vs4.16
Corsi%
42.1%vs44.3%
PP% / PK%
35/65vs40/72
Rest
112dvs156d
TeamxGF (10g)xGA (10g)Corsi%PP%PK%
MTL 3.10 4.16 42.1% 34.8% 65.2%
TOR 3.11 4.16 44.3% 40.0% 72.0%
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Head-to-Head

3MTL
TOR2
03/10/26TOR — MTL1 – 3
12/06/25MTL — TOR2 – 1
11/22/25TOR — MTL2 – 5
10/08/25MTL — TOR2 – 5
10/08/25MTL — TOR2 – 5

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

MTL STAT TOR
3.50
Buts/Match ? Buts marqués par match en moyenne
3.10
3.10
Buts encaissés ? Buts concédés par match (défense)
4.60
3.10
xG For ? Expected Goals - Buts attendus selon la qualité des tirs
3.11
34.8%
PP% ? Power Play % - Efficacité en supériorité numérique (buts/opportunités)
40.0%
65.2%
PK% ? Penalty Kill % - Efficacité en infériorité numérique (1 - buts encaissés/opportunités)
72.0%
90.5%
Save% ? Pourcentage d'arrêts du gardien
85.6%
42.1%
CF% ? Corsi For % - Domination des tirs (tentatives pour vs contre)
44.3%
15.0%
Sh% ? Shooting % - Pourcentage de conversion des tirs en buts
14.2%

Frequently asked questions

When was MTL @ TOR played?

This NHL game was played on 2026-09-19.

Where can I find the prediction for MTL @ TOR?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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