DET @ FLA NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
Start 00:00
DETFLAOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
PROView full analysis
CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
The Florida Panthers have 8 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime or shootout losses in 14 games, for 18 standings points. Their last game was October 30, 2026, giving them 2 days of rest. The Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins, 5 losses and 3 overtime or shootout losses in 14 games, for 15 standings points. Their last game was October 31, 2026, giving them 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Tarasov posts a 0.901 save percentage and a GSAx of +0.36, compared with 0.886 and +0.09 for Markstrom over the same stretch. At 5-on-5, the Florida Panthers have a shot attempt share of 54.8%, versus 52.4% for the Detroit Red Wings: the gap is slim. Expected goals are close, 3.30 for the Florida Panthers and 3.40 for the Detroit Red Wings, but the Detroit Red Wings are playing with one fewer day of rest and without Larkin at center. The Florida Panthers have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including the two most recent (4-1 in 2025, then 8-1 at home in April 2026).
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: No moneyline pick: our model gives the Detroit Red Wings a 39.4% chance, and the 2.550 odds imply 39.2%, an edge of 0.2 points. Our estimate lines up with the odds.
TOTALS: No total pick: our model projects 7.16 goals against a line of 6.0, which is 1.16 goals above the line, on the Over side. Actual goals over 10 games are 3.30 for the Florida Panthers and 2.80 for the Detroit Red Wings, but those numbers were produced with forwards who are now out. Our model leans Over, and the odds don't pay off that scenario.
The point that could change this read: the Florida Panthers and the Detroit Red Wings each have several forwards out, which could weigh on actual offensive production. Markstrom's return after his absence is the other unknown.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET |
3.40 | 2.91 | 52.4% | 22.2% | 65.2% |
| FLA |
3.30 | 3.00 | 54.8% | 41.9% | 86.7% |
Unlock all picks and the full analysis
The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.
Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market
Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
DET
STAT
FLA
Frequently asked questions
When was DET @ FLA played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for DET @ FLA?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
