DAL @ WSH NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks

NHL · Capital One Arena

DAL

Dallas Stars

Away

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5W - 3L

11/04/2026
Start 00:00

--d --h --m

WSH

Washington Capitals

Home

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7W - 3L

Analysis published before puck drop Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology

GOALIES

Jake Oettinger

Confirmed

SV%0.921

GSAx/G+0.89

Logan Thompson

Confirmed

SV%0.898

GSAx/G+0.39

Moneyline

DAL

1.98 51% impl.

Moneyline

WSH

1.93 52% impl.

Total 5.5 O 1.85 / U 2.04

Pinnacle Odds - Updated in real time

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.

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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

CONFIRMED GOALIES

● Washington Capitals: Logan Thompson (probable starter) — 0.905 save percentage, 2.52 goals-against average (GAA), GSAx (goals saved above expected) +0.58 over his last 10 starts

● Dallas Stars: Jake Oettinger (probable starter) — 0.917 save percentage, 1.69 GAA, GSAx +0.83 over his last 10 starts

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GAME CONTEXT

Washington is 8-5-0 in 13 games (8 wins, 5 losses and 0 overtime or shootout losses), good for 16 standings points. Its last game was on November 1, 2026, which gives it 1 day of rest. Dallas is 8-5-1 in 14 games (8 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss), good for 17 standings points, with 2 days of rest since its October 31, 2026 game.

KEY ABSENCES

● Washington Capitals: Patrick Thomas (C), long-term injured reserve (LTIR), upper body; Rasmus Sandin (D), LTIR, knee; Vincent Desharnais (D), LTIR, abdominal.

● Dallas Stars: Radek Faksa (C), questionable, lower body; Kyle Capobianco (D), Luke Krys (D), Matt Duchene (C) and Oskar Back (C), all on LTIR.

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker	Totals OVER	Totals UNDER	ML HOME	ML AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)	1.85@5.5	2.04@5.5	1.93	1.98
1xBet	1.87@5.5	2.01@5.5	2.48	2.59
Betclic	—	—	2.37	2.38
Winamax	—	—	2.35	2.35
Unibet	—	—	2.30	2.35
888sport	1.80@5.5	2.00@5.5	1.91	1.91

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

4DAL

WSH1

01/07/26DAL — WSH4 – 1

10/28/25WSH — DAL0 – 1

12/16/24WSH — DAL1 – 3

10/17/24DAL — WSH2 – 3

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)

DAL STAT

WSH

2.80

Buts/Match ?

3.70

2.30

Buts encaissés ?

3.20

2.88

xG For ?

3.74

29.4%

PP% ?

19.2%

100.0%

PK% ?

76.2%

89.7%

Save% ?

88.3%

50.1%

CF% ?

48.4%

10.7%

Sh% ?

12.9%

Frequently asked questions

When is DAL @ WSH played?

This NHL game is scheduled for 2026-11-03.

Where can I find a prediction for DAL @ WSH?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for moneyline and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.