COL @ CHI NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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COLCHIOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
The Chicago Blackhawks have 4 wins, 9 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 14 games, good for 9 standings points. Their last game was on October 31, 2026, which gives them 1 day of rest. The Colorado Avalanche have 8 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime or shootout loss in 14 games, good for 17 standings points, and played on October 31, 2026 with 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The goalies are confirmed and close in save percentage (0.897 for Knight, 0.903 for Blackwood), but Blackwood allows 2.63 goals per game compared to 3.23 for Knight. At 5-on-5, Colorado dominates with 52.3% of shot attempts, versus 45.3% for Chicago. Colorado generates 3.36 expected goals per game and allows 2.94, while Chicago generates 2.87 and allows 3.49. Rest is 1 day on both sides: the most likely script remains a game controlled by Colorado, with no goalie stealing it.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: The numbers point Colorado's way: a higher share of shot attempts, higher expected goals for, lower expected goals against, and 3.80 goals scored per game versus 2.20 for Chicago. Colorado has also won the last five head-to-head meetings, including 4-1 in Chicago on March 20, 2026. Our model gives Colorado Avalanche a 72.6% chance, and the 1.450 odds imply 69.0%: the edge is slim (+3.6 points). Our lean is Colorado Avalanche at 1.450.
TOTALS: No pick on the total. Our projection is 6.17 goals for a line of 6.0, which is 0.17 goals above the line, on the Over side. That gap is small, and Chicago scores only 2.20 goals per game over its last 10.
Colorado has allowed 3.30 actual goals per game over its last 10 games, and Blackwood has just a 0.903 save percentage: a night where Chicago finds a way through could flip the script. We accept that risk, because Blackwood allows only 2.63 goals per game over his last 10 starts.
Our lean is Colorado Avalanche at 1.450, with AI trend status and no staking recommendation. We are not playing the total.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL |
3.36 | 2.94 | 52.3% | 12.0% | 63.6% |
| CHI |
2.87 | 3.49 | 45.3% | 13.6% | 79.2% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
COL
STAT
CHI
Frequently asked questions
When was COL @ CHI played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for COL @ CHI?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
