CGY @ SJS NHL prediction: AI analysis & picks
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CGYSJSOur picks for this match
Our Expert Analysis
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CONFIRMED GOALIES
GAME CONTEXT
The San Jose Sharks have 7 wins, 7 losses and 1 loss in overtime or the shootout (15 games, 15 standings points). Their last game was on October 31, 2026, with 1 day of rest. The Calgary Flames have 6 wins and 8 losses, with no losses in overtime or the shootout (14 games, 12 standings points). Their last game was on October 31, 2026, with 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Askarov, a probable starter, has a 0.894 save percentage and a GSAx of +0.35; Wolf, a confirmed starter, has a 0.877 save percentage and a GSAx of -0.68. At 5-on-5, the share of shot attempts is close: 49.1% for Calgary versus 47.2% for San Jose. San Jose is allowing 3.97 expected goals per game over its last 10 games, compared with 3.17 for Calgary. Rest is 1 day for both teams, and a matchup of shaky goalies leaves the door open to a wide-open game.
OUR ANALYSIS
MONEYLINE: Our model leans toward the San Jose Sharks: it gives them 58.2%, while the 1.850 odds imply 54.1%. The odds do not pay for this scenario. San Jose's goalie is better positioned, but its defense allows a lot of chances, and Calgary has won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including the most recent one in San Jose (4-1).
TOTALS: Our model leans toward the Under 6.5: its projection is 6.15 goals, or 0.35 goal below the line. The odds do not pay for this scenario. Both goalies sitting below a 0.900 save percentage point the other way, as do San Jose's 3.97 expected goals against per game.
Askarov is listed as a probable starter, not confirmed: a different goalie in net for San Jose would change the matchup. Othmann's questionable status on the Calgary side could also change the read.
We are not playing this game.
Key Factors
| Team | xGF (10g) | xGA (10g) | Corsi% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY |
2.94 | 3.17 | 49.1% | 45.0% | 75.0% |
| SJS |
3.26 | 3.97 | 47.2% | 29.0% | 79.2% |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 31 model features (last 5-10 games)
CGY
STAT
SJS
Frequently asked questions
When was CGY @ SJS played?
This NHL game was played on 2026-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for CGY @ SJS?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (moneyline and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NHL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
