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HOU @ LAC prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 9 · SoFi Stadium
HOUHOU
Houston Texans
Away
★Follow
Record 2-5
VS
08/11/2026
Kickoff 22:05 (Paris time)
--j --h --m
LACLAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Home
★Follow
Record 0-7
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
HOUHOU
-5.5 @ 2.00 · Pinnacle
Spread
LACLAC
+5.5 @ 1.91 · Pinnacle
Total (O/U) 40.5 points
Best odds across compared bookmakers — full comparison below

Our picks for this match

1 AI pick on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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INJURIES & ABSENCES
Houston Texans
David Montgomery · RB
Groin — est. return 11/15
Out
Jaylin Noel · WR
Toe — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Reed Blankenship · S
Concussion — est. return 11/15
Out
Azeez Al-Shaair · LB
Active
Blake Fisher · OT
Active
Braden Smith · OT
Active
Los Angeles Chargers
David Njoku · TE
Lower Leg — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Deane Leonard · CB
Concussion — est. return 11/16
Out
Denzel Perryman · LB
Undisclosed — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Derwin James Jr. · S
Hamstring — est. return 11/29
Injured Reserve
Kendall Williamson · S
Calf — est. return 11/16
Out
Brenen Thompson · WR
Quadriceps — est. return 11/08
Doubtful
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Les Chargers affichent 0 victoire et 7 défaites en 7 matchs. Les Texans comptent 2 victoires et 5 défaites en 7 matchs. La rencontre de la semaine 9 se joue au SoFi Stadium, dont le toit est couvert.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Los Angeles Chargers : Deane Leonard (CB), forfait (commotion cérébrale), retour estimé le 16 novembre 2026 ; Kendall Williamson (S), forfait (mollet), retour estimé le 16 novembre 2026 ; Brenen Thompson (WR), peu probable (quadriceps) ; Kayode Awosika (G), peu probable (bas de la jambe) ; David Njoku (TE) et Denzel Perryman (LB), sur la liste des blessés (longue durée) ; 1 autre absent.
● Houston Texans : David Montgomery (RB), forfait (aine), retour estimé le 15 novembre 2026 ; Reed Blankenship (S), forfait (commotion cérébrale), retour estimé le 15 novembre 2026 ; Jaylin Noel (WR), sur la liste des blessés (longue durée), retour estimé le 15 février 2027.

Analyse détaillée et verdict

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Odds comparison

Comparer les cotes

08/11 17:00
Bookmaker Spread HOMESpread AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.91@5.5 2.00@5.5
1xBet 1.91@5.5 1.91@5.5
888sport 1.91@5.5 1.91@5.5

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-head

4HOU
LAC1
27/12/25HOU — LAC20 – 16
11/01/25LAC — HOU12 – 32
02/10/22LAC — HOU34 – 24
26/12/21LAC — HOU29 – 41
22/09/19HOU — LAC27 – 20

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

HOU STAT LAC
25.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
14.2
22.8
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
24.6
330
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
313
248
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
199
82
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
114
+1.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
+7.8
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-15.0
38.2%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
38.7%

Frequently asked questions

When is HOU @ LAC played?

This NFL game is scheduled for 2026-11-08.

Where can I find a prediction for HOU @ LAC?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for spreads and totals, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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